Educational content only. Not financial advice or trade recommendations. Shared for learning purposes, not profit expectations. Trading involves risk and outcomes vary.(edited)
Nothing complicated about this setup.
5M OB + Backtest of VAL + Daily Level
Poor Lows needed to be cleaned, Daily level was close by with OB for an easy target.
Pro Trend + Pro MS Order Flow
11:17 AM
Now, Looking at this VA, we are breaching the VAL, have taken liquidity into an OB with inducement. Looking for potential MS setup for a long. If it does not present it self with bullish strength, then I will wait for the lows to get taken again until we reach level that presents itself with strong MS shift, or creating a range with a LTF Wycoff accumulation.
Potential Long here. Waiting for 3rd tap at the lows into demand, to see if we create an accumulation model here. However, if we break the 5m BOS, I will look for an entry after that BOS is confirmed.
This current ES Chart...watching this closely...If we lose the VAL here and head to take out the liquidity below, BTC will most like the bed as well at this POI
12:28 PM
Still some slight absorption, but need OI to follow though on BTC
12:31 PM
Would like to see this on BTC, take out the current local high, into Supply, and then BOS. Not touching this unless we get some solid confirmations that the trend is shifting from the current local uptrend.
Front ran the OB though, I took a small scalp here, only got a portion of my limit filled. Still waiting on the OB to get hit.
12:43 PM
Not many shorts opening up atm
12:44 PM
my SL is at BE
12:45 PM
Would like it to come back up to be honest and create better structure and take out the high again into that OB, We will see if BTC gives us that(edited)
12:51 PM
So far looks like the move down is mainly fueled by small amonutof longs being liquidated, not alot of new shorts opening here.
12:51 PM
Need this to go higher into supply
12:55 PM
CVD is a bit flatlined here again
12:55 PM
Waiting for a spike in OI
12:59 PM
If people will start pressing the long button, maybe we can get to the supply and SFP the high we just put in
Took out the Liquidity, but like we talked about yesterday, there is nothing there to truly hold it down until we get to the supply OB around $90,200
9:21 AM
BTC has decoupled from ES. It may be following Golds lead at this point as Gold is making ATH over and over again, and alot of people see BTC as Digital Gold.
BTC has reached our OB. Need confirmations and signs of breaking down before an entry. This could continue this squeeze up. ES is also opened up bullish.
Slight absorption here on BTC, need new shorts opening with more volume or else we will continue to squeeze up.
10:05 AM
If we dont have more aggression on the shorts, this will definitely squeeze...you want to see agressive shorts coming in, rn its sitting still
10:10 AM
...Its taking way to long for any follow throough...if BTC starts to follow ES again today, we continue to squeeze up
10:13 AM
Locally on the 2m, the Demand is holding. I would want to see price flip this demand for a short confirmation. If demand can not break, we will go higher.
Demand continues to hold, and we squeeze up...the confirmations are right on the chart for you. Made very simple.
Simply put to take a high probability trade we want:
1) Level
2) Location
3) Confirmation
****Full strategies with all details in a simple checklist format will be coming in future free material as well as a comprehensive course.
(edited)
10:41 AM
We had 1 + 2 here, but not 3
10:41 AM
Taking no trade and not losing money is just as important as taking profitable trades and winning!
10:42 AM
This is ES Chart, looks like that are close to being coupled again today. Yesterday was a much different story, however, maybe it was due to EU markets being closed still. Time will tell to see if the peg continues
Value is shifting higher, VAH moving higher as price is moving higher, moving SL up alove with structure and newly created demand.
Locking more profits in!
BTC Levels for today
We are currently in Supply OB, still showing bullish sentiment.
We have had a nice rice to the top of the Value Area and have broken out with strength.
Mark levels, Set Alerts, and watch for confirmations at each level.
Watch the shorts, dont get squeezed as we have been seeing shorts getting squeezed and liquidated this entire move up
9:08 AM
Daily Chart
9:10 AM
Be aware of the HTF levels that we are coming into at this time
We can see that we are coming into GP and VAH of this market structure leg to the downside since previous ATHs
These will be massive levels of resistance. IF these get blown through with strong candle closes, I believe we will see new ATHs
9:11 AM
9:11 AM
We have acceptance in previous VA, the previous POC is right in the GP.
Set your alerts!
Short here at our Level
Starting to scale out at the lows for TP1, and the other levels as we make out way down. This is counter trend, so I will be taking profits aggressively and moving SL to entry
10:19 AM
TP1 is Now hit
Derisked
Free Trade now
10:20 AM
need to see some liquidations here to get this thing to go lower
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:03 AM
I will be sharing my interactive chart here in the VIP section from now on.
This way you will be able to open the link and have access to my chart interactively, and see all my levels all the time on your own screen.
We did dip into this supply, however, just a quick in and out with no structure, no confirmations, so no trade here for me.
Really want that $93.5 area would be better short if we get confirmations.
ES holding up well, CVD spiked up showing after indecision, aggressive longs came back into the market, no short trade for me here.
This is how we use confirmations and context to stay out of trades where there is no trade to take.
This is how we protect our
12:17 PM
Now we look for SFP of these highs, or a Break of the level and thus the range, to go higher, potentially looking for a RIMC play higher
12:22 PM
maybe 15m SFP here, waiting to see if we get that short oppotunity here now that we hit the GP(edited)
had tons of 5m wicks, and finally broke back into that 1m range
1:01 PM
lets see if we can grab that liquidity from the longs this morning
1:01 PM
SL is now in entry, right above the pdOPen, b/c if we come back above POC or pdOpen, I would think we start mooning again
1:04 PM
we do have 15m demand here, so be aware
1:08 PM
Rejected from POC
1:08 PM
Moving SL down
1:08 PM
1:10 PM
Now liquidating the Longs from earlier
1:11 PM
took 0.1 off the table
1:11 PM
SL to pdEQ
1:11 PM
targeting low of range, and VWAP
1:15 PM
1:16 PM
1:19 PM
@everyone
Please tell me someone here took this trade with me
I literally walked through every step of the trade
Gave the Level
Clear instructions on confirmations in real time
When and why I stayed out of the trade, and when I pulled the trigger, and when I took profits
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
JP Trades
@everyone
Please tell me someone here took this trade with me
I literally walked through every step of the trade
Gave the Level
Clear instructions on confirmations in real time
When and why I stayed out of the trade, and when I pulled the trigger, and when I took profits
I got in at $93.5K after I filmed my video, but I was building website pages and didn't have my T/P set (stop loss was set, naturally), then got busy and forgot T/P
1
👑Drew Wolfer 👑
I got in at $93.5K after I filmed my video, but I was building website pages and didn't have my T/P set (stop loss was set, naturally), then got busy and forgot T/P
Now we are back yet again at the supply + GP as we took the short earlier
4:15 PM
Looking for another potential short for the same level
4:16 PM
We lost pdOpen again!
4:17 PM
Only problem this time is we have strong demand right below us
4:17 PM
a Massive 15m OB
4:19 PM
would be nice to see a backtest into pdOpen
4:22 PM
Longs are closing, LETS GO!!!!
4:23 PM
Super tiny stop, right above pdOpen, if we break above I will look for a restest to try a short again on better confirmations, but we did have 1m BOS, not the strongest, but OI is dipping hard, meaning longs are closing here and taking profits
4:23 PM
Full context - risky play, b/c we are in 15m demand
4:24 PM
shes coming back up, lets see if we get that pdOpen retest, or if we just moon through the GP finally
4:25 PM
that 30m high is a nice high tho!
4:25 PM
That selling tail is huge
4:27 PM
Oh, just noticed we have Poor Lows from this morning, would be nice to sweep those
Nice backtest of a Low Volume Node (LVN), and pdOpen
4:35 PM
Again small risk
4:36 PM
lets see if we get new short opening, so far its pretty flat
4:37 PM
This could also com back up to the highs here for one more SFP to form a Wycoff Model 1 Distribution on the 15m/30m time frame. Will also add that to my future plans if it confirms
4:39 PM
We have 2 supply levels remaining in this range in purple
4:39 PM
If those dont reject, we go for the highs
4:40 PM
strong rejection
4:41 PM
moved SL to pdOpen first supply level thats been holding, only $40 risk now
4:42 PM
Newly created supply from that rejection
4:42 PM
This could start a supply chain down
4:43 PM
very quick buyback from pdEQ + OB, not good(edited)
4:44 PM
4:44 PM
Again, $35 risk on this trade now
4:44 PM
I made over $1000 today on BTC and ES
4:44 PM
So if I get stopped, I dont have to cry about it
4:45 PM
4:45 PM
However, if it stops me out and then goes down, I will cry about it! LOL
4:46 PM
4:47 PM
and there you go, I just took a loss
4:47 PM
-$35
4:48 PM
4:52 PM
Looking for potential short here and the remaining supply, its the only thing left that will hold price down
4:53 PM
but I will have to wait for a full on 2/3m structure break, so looking for a bearish BOS, plus orderflow confirmation because its end of day, volume is dead
Things are very bullish this morning, however, I am looking for a demand 2 supply flip here for an entry back into the local range
11:05 AM
I should add, this would only be a scalp for me to take down to pmH, or to next level of demand, in which I will look to long from demand to continue to the upside, as I do think we wont stop here, looking to get to that W around $96k
11:06 AM
alos, if we break the deviation zone, I will look for a potential backtest long
11:06 AM
so far that 2m demand block in blue is holding
11:07 AM
Starting to get LTF CVD Divs here, needs to confirm
11:08 AM
slight absorption, nothing crazy just yet
11:10 AM
there we go!!!
11:10 AM
lets see if we can have a solid break now
11:16 AM
No MS BOS yet
11:18 AM
local absorption, no break just yet, just sfp the lows on 2m, could be a slight pullback, but no reversal play just yet
I’m using phone on the move so might not catch this one
2:11 PM
I don’t have order flow in front of me, just going off of structure and reaction
2:14 PM
Kinda sour I missed the most recent short, it was a very nice mini model 2 with a bearish BOS entry, then just waterfalls down to vWAP
@Alpha Members(edited)
Got stopped in profit on this one. Another solid scalp, locked in as much profit as we could. Another solid couple wins for today! One missed opportunity. (I was at lunch )
It’s been an amazing week. We made a lot of this week. Feeling blessed to be apart of this community and share it with everyone here. I appreciate everyone for being here and taking the time to learn and invest into yourself and your future. I have high hopes to make this a community of professional traders that will one day have the ultimate autonomy and freedom in your lives.
I don’t care about being the best trader in the world, or having the best community with the most people, or having subs and likes. I just want to give people the ability to change their lives in the same way my mentors gave to me!
Much everyone! Take the weekend to give yourself to your friends and family..maybe chill or enjoy some other hobbies, or do a little backtesting to hone your skills.
Either way, enjoy the weekend, and I will update everyone if something fun happens on the charts!(edited)
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:28 AM
BTC is back in our Supply zone that we have rejected from before, above VAH, currently holding pmHigh, and above vWAP
9:29 AM
Local trend is bullish, so lets see if we can ride the wave for a continuation long, but also look for signs the trend is shifting because we are in supply, however, shorts will be short scalps until proven otherwise with a bearish BOS or a double BOS, or we break back into the VA
9:30 AM
First potential long setup -
VAH + OB starting around $94.9k
Review chart for the OB I am talking about(edited)
9:31 AM
Still targeting Poor Highs around $96.6
9:32 AM
We get strength in that area we are going to go to $98k
That Wycoff distribution was a great short opportunity.
9:52 AM
Let’s see if we can reclaim vWAP
9:52 AM
If we reclaim vWAP + pdEQ, potential long
9:58 AM
9:58 AM
Coming down to our next demand zone around GP
9:58 AM
POC of the range here as well as intraday levels
9:59 AM
If POC of this range does not hold, we will obviously have a full range rotation to the VAL or deviate VAL
10:00 AM
We also have a now confirmed 2H Wycoff Model 2 distribution at play
10:00 AM
Local MS has shifted, market is trying to find balance...its doing Monday things as usual....would like to take out all the weekend traders is Mondays objective
10:01 AM
Backtest VWAP is potential short...look for confirmations
10:07 AM
ES has reclaimed vWAP, so watch for BTC to do the same...
10:07 AM
dont take anthing unless full on confirmation
10:07 AM
We are fiddling in the middle of a range, so not the best location, always need firm confirmations in the locations that arent the highes probability
1
10:12 AM
newly formed 5m OB in blue here, if structure is going to continue bearish after the break we just had, this would be a good spot for a continuation short, but I do not like the location because we would be shorting into the vwap again, we was just reclaimed.
RN we have conflicting signal...when this happens in the middle of a range, we sit on our hands unless we have really good confirmations
10:14 AM
Sometimes its best to wait for clear confident setups, and be patient. This is how we save on losses that are not necessary. Focus on the best of the best setups
10:15 AM
Also left behind a massive 5m demand OB
10:15 AM
Nice reaction off that GP tho
10:16 AM
Really front ran my level at that POC
10:19 AM
purple OB demand 2m
10:19 AM
if we flip that, I will short and trail SL aggressively until we pass that massive 5m demand
10:19 AM
also watching ES behavior, its wicking the VAH
10:20 AM
recalim candle
10:20 AM
waiting for the 5m candle to follow above pdEQ
10:21 AM
scalp long here
10:21 AM
10:21 AM
SL already above entry, free trade
10:21 AM
target pmHigh
10:22 AM
buyers hitting the tape
10:23 AM
10:23 AM
New longs coming in...need more volume
10:23 AM
wicked VAH, just like ES
10:23 AM
Im out, tiny scalp
10:23 AM
only about $50 win
10:25 AM
massive 5m wick
10:25 AM
would like for it to move into that 1H OB in purple for a short with a LTF Bearish BOS as confirmation
10:26 AM
we hit the GP to the dollar, just like the one at the local low
10:26 AM
GP to GP
10:29 AM
At this point, I set my alarms at the extremed of the range, and wait...not doing anything until we get there, dont like oscilating in the middlf of a range.
10:31 AM
Volum Range pulls overlapped
10:33 AM
Lost several VAH, and pdEQ,
10:37 AM
VWAP still reclaimed on ES and BTC
10:38 AM
Man lot of liquidations this morning...wait until we get high probability setups, right now, its back and forth, dont get involved in LTF chop
if we break structure back to bullish, Im going to take most of this trade off the table to lock in my profits for the day, and the look for re-entry if confirmations are present
11:40 AM
11:43 AM
ES is reclaiming levels, so things might take a turn
11:43 AM
could jsut be a pullback though, have to watch behavior on backtests
11:44 AM
also i mportant to note, we are getting bullish divs here on btc
There has not been one bullish BOS in this entire move down, yet tons of longs continue to get liquidated
ask yourself, why are you longing straight bearish candles?
No Market Structure flip back to bullish whatsoever
No signs of buyers stepping in to break structure = WEAK
Market Structure Saves Lives
Only bad part about that is Youtube and the masses are regurgitating bad MS theory...I read MS differently that what taught in most circles...with a specific set of rules to validate real structure.
This is the one variable that changed my trading forever! Took me from a break even trader, to consistently profitable, knowing how to not take premature positions by catching knives.
12:33 PM
That 30m Low is a nice low here
12:33 PM
Now is the time, to look for a BULLISH BOS
12:33 PM
no we look for that follow through, or else it iwl be yet another failed attempt
12:33 PM
PATIENCE
12:36 PM
BOS Confirmed on the 2m so far
12:36 PM
no lets see if we can get a pullback for an entry
12:36 PM
12:37 PM
Short closed
12:39 PM
if 5m confirms as well, then we can look for a retest
level held nicely, also given out this morning
12:40 PM
also the 30m low is nice low, very nice buying tail...no poor lows to come back for
12:40 PM
*If ES decide to the bed tho...BTC will most likely come down with it! *
12:43 PM
MTF Bias still short overall until we reclaim vWAP + dOpen
12:47 PM
Just remember, things can look short term bullish, but just could be putting in another LL for another LH, then to make another LL further to the downside
12:47 PM
MTS Structure does NOT break bullish until we can get a candle close above $95k
12:48 PM
If you are long, keep longs a scalp, until proven otherwise
That purple OB is a level given out yesterday, This level is guarding that Wycoff distribution model. Big Players will want to guard their position if they have not gotten out....Its already caused a full rotation to the downside overnight. I did not take that trade, as I was sleeping, but I hope someone here caught it!
8:42 AM
We lose VWAP and POC, Im going to entertain a short
Keeping SL moves aggressive bc this is obviously counter trend trading
11:10 AM
stopped at BE
11:11 AM
only small profit taken on that one
11:11 AM
back at fighting for the pmH lol
11:15 AM
CVD slowly sticking back up
11:16 AM
potential long at dOpen if we can get some love CVD...bring it
11:18 AM
no love
11:18 AM
no trade
11:18 AM
but on the bright side, here comes the VWAP finally
11:19 AM
Note: London's high and lows have both been swept
11:20 AM
looking here for long confirmations
11:20 AM
IF it doesnt hold, we have the levels to the downside for potential long setups
11:21 AM
That SFP at the highs turned out to be very nice
11:22 AM
Id prefer to take a long from lower levels, not the green box btw
11:23 AM
This range has been super choppy and only reliable plays are scalps
11:23 AM
so, waiting for extremes of the range for a trade thats going to be a keeper
11:23 AM
Chill...Patience...
11:24 AM
We made some damn good so far this morning, so no reason to overtrade on scalps...lets wait for a super high probability setup now...zoom out, set alarms, be patient
11:25 AM
any more scalps will be super low risk for me
11:25 AM
Once Ive made good no need to give it back
11:25 AM
Also something nto note, we have a clear uptrend
11:26 AM
but we have a very good high thats been made, and a really good low thats been made..so thers no clear direction or intention atm until swing structure is broken
11:28 AM
Also, longing green box is risky, bc you will be longing straight into the POC + VWAP in which we just broke...so not interested in it at all
11:28 AM
dont care if it goes to the moon, there will be better entries
creating an internal range from the H/L marked out on the char in the blue range
11:57 AM
One of those levels needs to break to break swing structure
11:58 AM
The supply OB's to the upside are very low TF OBs so I dont expect them to hold as much as the ones to the lows...so my bias is a breakout to the upside
11:58 AM
But what I see alot from retail patterns is you will often break to one side and that first break is a potential fakeout to grab liquidity to take into the opposite direction.
actually moving stop up aggressively, that way I can make min $800 on this trade, if its comes down to stop me, there is an OB there for me to have yet another entry
12:47 PM
I can then use the profits for another free trade
12:47 PM
This is the importance of locking in profits early in the day, so now you are playing with HOUSE $$$
@Alpha Members
12:53 PM
killed it there, sells hitting the books. If it leaves the station without me, Ill get back on the train at the next stop
I dont like to brag about entries too often, bc I dont try and get the dead bottom or tops, usually not the goal...but using BookMaps I was able to snag this entry almost to the dollar
10:21 PM
10:21 PM
SL has been moved
10:28 PM
Locking in $600 on this trade
10:30 PM
might take a TP at the Daily if its stalls or reacts there
10:32 PM
Moving SL up to lock in a 3R trade
10:32 PM
+$735
10:33 PM
maybe it pushed to the daily before it hits my stop
We are finally hitting that GP of the macro range here that I have been talking about for a couple weeks now.
Remember ----We are now reaching areas of macro premium and extreme premium of the range = Swing short potentials
This is the POWER of Order Flow trading with HTF Levels
10:52 AM
This was the scalp position, 10m OB + D level that was resistance this morning, Sell wall on BookMap, + Delta into level, price stalled, absorbed, quick scalp down to that W level...price stalled at the weekly...quick TP.
10:52 AM
Literally 6m of price action
10:54 AM
10:54 AM
CVD Hidden Div there as well
10:55 AM
To be fair, I did not update this in time for anyone, it happened so quick there was no way for me to relay it in a way that would benefit anyone
10:56 AM
When you see a massive green bubble into a bright red sell wall like that with CVD absorption, its a trade all day for me
10:56 AM
dont care if its $100 win or $1000 win
10:57 AM
For those types of moves, I have tiny stop losses and move SL very aggressively with price
10:58 AM
Some may say I take profits too quickly but this is my style I have built over many years of trying all styles out. This fits my personality and risk tolerance. I like seeing green...I like being validated or invalidated on my plan quickly, and I like to lock in profits often and quick given the context. Context - shorting after a massive run up...counter trend trading.
10:59 AM
I like to stack profits rather than wait, and possible have a trade round trip on me and take me out....Ive been through that too many times.
11:00 AM
Hitting deviation zone 1
11:01 AM
I will be talking about Range Deviation Zones in my course soon to come. This is tool that is rare and not many know about and has been customized by myself over many years of testing it.
I hope I am able to show members here that you can make money on any time frame. Time frames are fractal. Its all the same theory, applies to any time frame you want. If you have a 9-5, and think scalping is not for you, all you need is a 1-2 hrs per day. Sometimes it may only take 10-15m of your time. IF you can set the levels, set your alerts, and have good risk management, thats all it really takes.
4:54 PM
When I first started, I was running 2 businesses. But I would set my levels at night, then set my alarms, and once an alarm goes off, I go to the chart and check for confirmation. Once you pull the trigger, set the SL and TP, and let it ride. You dont need to micromanage every trade.
4:55 PM
BTW
4:55 PM
we are at a 3m OB, could be good for long scalp
4:55 PM
SL is too big for my liking though
4:55 PM
I cant be bothered by it on this one, too late in the day
5/10m OB here, could be a nice setup for a short to at least target the local lows. However, Id like to see it come back up a reject vwap and flip structure back down.
12:16 PM
lots of confluence on this backtest, just needs some aggressive shorts to step in with some volume because we have just been compressing in this tiny range this morning, no big breaks either way
I was out driving to grab food, and saw the short and POC, which made for a tiny SL
4:19 PM
It was a nice local SFP play into POC
4:19 PM
also had that sell wall that I showed in bookmap earlier absorb all those buys right into POC
4:20 PM
you can see the aggressive buys at that level...2200 BTC in that green bubble
4:22 PM
CVD And OI divs into that POC and BookMap Sell Wall
4:25 PM
Just like this on the regular charts...once price broke below that green bubble, you knew at that points those longing the top were now trapped and their longs were under water...so they either got out, or got stopped out, which turned their buys positions into a sell position to exit.
This is a classed trapt traders setup. SFP is one of my favorite setups.
4:26 PM
you can see the move down was fast b/c it was stopping people out.
4:26 PM
This is why we dont long tops and we do not chase price, or chase breakouts
4:27 PM
You do not want to become the liquidity
4:28 PM
My original SL position was right above that high, and with this position my risk was only $153
4:29 PM
4:32 PM
still have the buy wall below us...lets see if it sticks or get pulled
4:36 PM
closed half here, locking profits in, aiming for lows
4:36 PM
still keeping my eyes on that passive limit order with 888 BTC in it
4:37 PM
stalling at VAL
4:39 PM
6.9R Trade
4:39 PM
Im out!
4:39 PM
4:42 PM
If we get a 3/5m bullish BOS out of this OB + VAL, could be good for along
4:42 PM
aggressive longs alread hitting the tape
4:43 PM
hoping we can come down once more, and create structure for a proper BOS + retest setup
4:44 PM
something like this
4:45 PM
However, its not my preference to get into a trade end of day. JS
4:49 PM
4:50 PM
700+ BTC going long here...man I hope these poor souls dont get trapped again.
4:50 PM
that 30m candle tho!!!!
4:51 PM
if it closes like that, def could get bullish again
Did not take the long aggressively, I wanted to wait for BOS like I mentioned...but there was no structure break until you were already at the POC, so that did not create any type of trade for me where I could have a sensible stop loss size.
5:18 PM
Best option was to enter in after that big red bubble was under water...but even then would have only been a 1.5R trade to the VAH..not bad, but not amazing.
5:18 PM
Either way, I chose to sit this one out, but the level was still a great level
Saw this late last night before I went to bed.
Nice Wycoff Model 2 distribution
Played out nicely
9:13 AM
That Model 2 left inducement on that OB above it
9:13 AM
We are now at the bottom of this range again
9:14 AM
Hitting a Daily Level that I keep preaching about over and over again
9:15 AM
These Daily, Weekly, Montly levels are no joke, that are some great S/R levels to add to the charts in support of all the areas of supply and demand and to further refine bigger zones down into smaller zones for great R:R trades. Some offer great reaction trades that are a bit more aggressive as well
9:16 AM
I would like this Re-Distribution to send us down to these local lows, where pdLow is, and sweep this liquidity for a potential SFP Long
But, it would also be preferred to come on down and test that 4H Low I talked about yesterday in my video which also pwLow
9:17 AM
So all the same setups apply, not much has changes as we are just in a local range, which we can most definitely make alot of money on
9:17 AM
I make the most of my $$$ off of playing Range Rotations, but the SMC range, not the retail range (FRVP)
9:18 AM
9:19 AM
Dont ForgetFOMC on WED - Tomorrow(edited)
9:19 AM
Its the only news event we have for the rest of the week
9:20 AM
Sometimes we get crazy volatility, sometimes we get nothing
Finally finished uploading, 4K might still be uploading
10:15 AM
if we lose VWAP, Im out, will get back in again on a retest
10:16 AM
10:16 AM
trailing SL
10:16 AM
if we are bullish this should fly and start flushing all those stops on that liquidy wave
10:16 AM
If we cant do that then we go down for a retracement and Ill look for another long if presented
10:17 AM
We breaking the D!
1
10:17 AM
1
10:17 AM
next up, pdEQ + POC
10:18 AM
10:18 AM
Lock it in everyone....trail SL
10:19 AM
10:19 AM
theres the flush @Alpha Members
10:20 AM
10:20 AM
10:21 AM
keep your eyes on this
10:21 AM
what how we react here
10:21 AM
thats also our short zone
10:21 AM
If I get stopped here, so be it, its plenty of a win for me
10:21 AM
I dont try and run entire moves, I lock in GREEN
10:22 AM
there will always be another oppotunity to get back in...that I can 100% promise
10:23 AM
10:23 AM
coming up to our short zone
10:24 AM
SFP local highs currently
10:24 AM
trailing SL
10:24 AM
again, dont care if I get stopped here, plenty of a win..dont get too greedy when youre up
10:25 AM
you have potential for a backtest off of POC
10:26 AM
Im OUT
10:26 AM
took my SL
10:27 AM
10:28 AM
10:29 AM
Lets see if we come all the way back to vwap
10:30 AM
MS has created 2 new demand zones here for us to long
10:30 AM
again, wait for confirmations to see if things hold
10:30 AM
Both line up perfectly with the Daily Levels
10:31 AM
I know I keep talking about how good these levels are...prob sick of it by now....but...
10:38 AM
10:38 AM
I want a deeper pullback
10:39 AM
Im not taking a trade here
I do not like taking a trade right a POC
10:39 AM
I want lower for a retracement, or I will let it rip and look to short out next zone, or look for a better continuation if we get it somewhere one we have more MS created
Id rather long a backtest of VWAP
10:39 AM
nice selling tail from that SFP reaction as well
10:40 AM
Now that weve made good $$$ for the day, we can chill, use house money to make more profits, but I prefer to still trade with high probability setups...why? so we dont just give the money right back.
10:42 AM
Also watching ES here...if we cant reclaim that Monthly level on ES, I dont have much hopes for BTC going much higher either
the volume bars at the bottom need to be greater than the ones on the left to create new high
11:22 AM
rn volume is trending down
11:23 AM
but that can change very quickly
11:23 AM
so we are looking for the follow through now
11:23 AM
starting to derisk here a bit
11:24 AM
SL right below that newly created demand OB
11:27 AM
Open interest is dying off a bit, means we have people exiting positions...so far this move up is fueled more so from shorts closing
11:27 AM
we need OI to rise with this move up for new longs to enter the market..showing aggressors
11:28 AM
SL move bc of the weakness so far
11:30 AM
reacht he top and we trap those shorts
11:30 AM
LFG
11:31 AM
VAH incoming again
11:31 AM
cutting it in full here
11:32 AM
weakness at the top for me
11:32 AM
would rather take the $$$ and see if we can retrace back to the blue box for another potential long setup
11:32 AM
11:38 AM
This is one of those times, instead of exiting, I should have just moved choked the trade with the SL...this is going down in my journal as a mistake. Everyone, learn from my mistakes.
11:38 AM
I should have moved my SL to the low of the last green candle at the high
11:39 AM
Not a big deal, but this is when we learn...from our mistakes...dont be afraid to make them, dont be afraid to lose. Its a MUST! No way around it
11:39 AM
@Alpha Members
11:45 AM
That long from VWAP turned out nice
11:49 AM
Another SFP of the SFP
Still didnt hit our Supply zone yet though
breaking back into the VA after that SFP, however we are hitting a 2m demand zone
11:58 AM
still want out supply zone to get hit
11:59 AM
retest of small OB
11:59 AM
super small risk not to try it
11:59 AM
but rn I dont like the setup that much
11:59 AM
I want to hit the level above us, and we are still in bullish MS, so this is a counter trend trade on every important TF
12:00 PM
Not a high probability setup
12:00 PM
I will derisk QUICKLY
12:01 PM
big selling here, but still not alot of volume
12:01 PM
CVD is starting to cool off, but stil very bullish..again not the best setup here at all
12:01 PM
12:02 PM
de risk slightly
12:02 PM
also coming to lunch hour...also not strong
12:03 PM
volume drops around this time
12:03 PM
if we can take these local stops we might have soemthing though
12:03 PM
12:04 PM
still in that demand zone
12:04 PM
bubyack on that low was solid
12:04 PM
I might get taken out here
12:05 PM
nice sell bubble saved me so far
12:07 PM
SL to BE now
12:08 PM
moving profit down a bit to leave room for a bit drop, trail SL if needed and choke trade on both sides
12:09 PM
I think we can make it to pdEQ + POC at least
12:12 PM
12:12 PM
nope, couldnt make it that far on that MS leg
12:13 PM
Basically a BE trade on this
12:14 PM
well, now we hit our supply zone lol
12:14 PM
at least we mitigated a loss, even if it was only around $90
12:15 PM
almost 800BTC buying at the highs here, if price gets below that, you know what Im loooking to do
12:16 PM
This will also be treated as a scalp with heavy aggressive SL moves, b/c I think the trend is still moving higher
12:16 PM
I think it wants to go to pdH today
12:16 PM
12:17 PM
12:17 PM
12:17 PM
$100 in like 1m lol
12:19 PM
keeping TP aggressive...WHY? lets learn from the last trade. should have TP aggressive on it...WHY? B/c this is counter trend on almost every single timeframe, no reason to round trip, even on house money
12:20 PM
now if we can create a bearish BOS using MS, we can look for a proper conservative entry to hold, but until the trend breaks with a proper BOS, its all conter trend, aggressive TPs, aggressive sL movements...
12:20 PM
Now, we are getting Bearish CVD divs here
12:21 PM
We just broke 1m Structure, so we can look for a retest
12:21 PM
3m OB
12:22 PM
we hold = long, we flip = short
12:23 PM
still would prefer one of these lower OBs to long from, after the 15m bullish BOS, Im hoping for a proper pullback
12:25 PM
12:25 PM
watch retracement zones
12:28 PM
need some more market buys here to long this
12:28 PM
CVD div is there though
12:28 PM
better
12:28 PM
thats what we want to see, the balls getting bigger
12:29 PM
not good
12:29 PM
big red engulfing ball
12:29 PM
its going to be battle here fighting for positions to hold
12:29 PM
bulls trying to fight to hold the uptrend
12:31 PM
if we can get a push above these guys we will trap alot of the sellers here and liquidate them
12:32 PM
small risk on this
12:32 PM
really want that pdH today
12:34 PM
LFG bulls
12:40 PM
moving SL closer bc of that reaction off dOpen
12:40 PM
12:41 PM
not a full BE but close enough
12:42 PM
exiting here
12:42 PM
we are creating a Model 2 distribution in our Supply zone, do I dont like
12:43 PM
it very well could still rip up, Im just taking it for what it is
12:43 PM
12:44 PM
if we choose to reclaim dOpen, than yea thats bullish, but rejecting from it on a backtest of the supply, not good for a long imo
12:44 PM
and there it is, Glad I exited in profits
12:45 PM
MODEL 2 - Short signal any day of the week
12:45 PM
Now, lets flip this blu OB
12:45 PM
see what MS may give us on a potential retest short
12:49 PM
we break that blue box we have a bearish BOS
12:52 PM
waiting for 5m Candle close
12:57 PM
nothing tradeable here for me for a short, 5m breaking now, but 15m still in bullish MS, so now looking for longs into our demand zones we have on chart
12:57 PM
VWAP test would be nice
1:03 PM
aggressive buying here in demand + VWAP Zone
1:03 PM
if we start exiting this zone, it will be a nice wave back up if we can get more volume
1:10 PM
Im long, but also getting lunch
1:11 PM
1:11 PM
purple = supply
1:11 PM
5/10m BOS, however 15m + did not
1:12 PM
This could reject from that suplly zone, but based on higher TF MS, Id like to take the highs
1:12 PM
make a new HH, in contect that this is the HL on the 15m
1:17 PM
thats aggresssoin
1:17 PM
NOW! Important that they dont get trapped
1:17 PM
1:17 PM
SL MOVE
1:19 PM
being a bit more aggressive on SL to lock in profits, even though looking for a new high...Im busy doing lunch at same time, so might not be able to watch as closely
1:19 PM
also watch dOpen, where we rejected before..important
BTC losing the Daily level here., lots of sells coming on
4:27 PM
didnt quite make it to the pdH or our supply level yets, but its just inching up there while building structure below which is always nice for liquidity
4:32 PM
Had the 5m BOS, lost that Daily level, retested...didnt get in on the retest, I was too late to the chart, so I had to market in on the second 5m fractal BOS
4:32 PM
Lets see if we can reclaim the value area
4:33 PM
this is counter trend still, so this low could be a HL in the trend..meaning we may bounch here or the VAH or that green OB
4:34 PM
SL to break even for me
4:35 PM
agressive with SL bc its end of day, just trying to pick up some extra fun coupons here
4:36 PM
no trying to show off and go for the next bottom to the dollar...just taking chunk after chunck
4:36 PM
SL is at dOpen now
4:36 PM
4:37 PM
VAH + Green OB, could bounce here so I have my SL tight...again we are going against the trend here
The short level earlier this morning did play out well, however, I didnt have a solid confirmation and MS coming into that level wasnt tradeable, so I passed on that short.
Looking at the purple OB for a potential continuation, however, I would want to see the previous low that was just SFPd break first....for a break and retest short. If we just wick that low like in the picture, I would not take that.
Trend is still bullish.
Short squeeze could occur here.
Ultimately Id like to to hit the Poor High before going lower, maybe even wick past it hidding that nPOC + Daily + Supply OB
12:25 PM
Everything outlined in my video yesterday for the Macro still in play(edited)
Another short setup given in my interactive charts...which is updated in real time as I update my charts in real time. Never miss an update!
Set alerts - no need to watch every move on the chart, ALERT goes off!
✅ Confirm that trade
Good to Enter Trade Once Confirmed
⎯ Setup your SL and TP
⏳ Walk away from the chart for 15m
Come back to easy for a 3.8R WIN in less than 15m
Another LONG setup given in my interactive charts...which is updated in real time as I update my charts in real time. Never miss an update!
Set alerts - no need to watch every move on the chart, ALERT goes off!
✅ Confirm that trade
Good to Enter Trade Once Confirmed
⎯ Setup your SL and TP
⏳ Walk away from the chart for 15m
Come back to easy for a 10R WIN in less than 25m
BACK 2 BACK Trades on BTC and GOLD today.
(edited)
Going in for continuation long setup...starting to get exhaustion, but small risk, so Im trying it given the bullish environment of the day and news this morning
12:38 PM
Did not get my entire position filled, but thats ok
12:39 PM
only half filled, did not come down and hit my other limit order I had in the books
12:39 PM
If we can break through this supply, I think we will continue to climb
12:40 PM
CVD Massively positive atm
12:43 PM
we are giving slight rejection here at the supply, but buyers still coming in...Im holding out to see if we can bust through
12:44 PM
Lots of Retail buying today, so Im taking in the hopium lol
locking in a solid profit, dont want it to round trip me...I dont like round trips...learned that years ago
12:59 PM
Again, like I keepp saying...if you get stopped in profits...no problem...you can always get back in with using market structure and supply and demand. Once you learn this, there is endless opportunities all over the charts, on every time frame, every asset...no need to feel FOMO, or try to catch entire moves to make massive amounts of $$$...Its just not necessary.
Pay Yourself!
1:01 PM
1:02 PM
Pink demand zone, price coudl SFP it and take me out and go higher...but knowing this I can take profits and get right back in if I like what I see as far as confirmations
1:03 PM
I also see we hit supply several times, rejected, and MS is creating the Green Wave I aways mark out on my charts
Shes trying to bounch here, but we need some more strength soon, or its going to roll over with the Green Wave
1:20 PM
I was already long and strong from OB below us as in the screenshots above...
But I posted about this Pink Order Block for the next demand level and the next HL in markets structure...
I also posted, if. you miss a move, you always have a change to get back in, or even add to a winning trade...
This is how using the BO$ system
1:22 PM
Exiting here at the Daily Rejection
1:22 PM
Good enough win for me
1:22 PM
Now watch it go to $120K
1:22 PM
1:22 PM
1:28 PM
Watch for a SFP if the most recent highs
1:29 PM
HVN @ $101.830 next
1:30 PM
interested in seeing how this 5m candle closes
1:31 PM
looking to trap the green ball, but CVD is so high rn
1:32 PM
going in with tight stop
might be a suicide mission
1:33 PM
Got me
1:34 PM
F it! Going to try it again
1:35 PM
Lets ride the Liquidity Wave Please! It would be great to stop at least some of these longs out
1:36 PM
1:36 PM
we got through the daily, I will use it as armor if we move down a bit more
1:37 PM
Stress Free Trade
1:37 PM
Took a loss, but not scared to get back in and cover aggressively.
1:38 PM
This is how professional day traders do it. NO FEAR!
1:38 PM
Strategy! Plan! Discipline!
1:40 PM
Hitting 15m Demand zone, might rain on our parade here. This is EXTREME counter trend everyone...cover aggressively
1:40 PM
1:43 PM
this might run, moving TP down
1:44 PM
lockin in at least $300 on this
1:46 PM
5m BEARISH BO$
1:49 PM
taking half off the table here
1:51 PM
Would love to see it take the highs one more time to create a Model 1 Wycoff for a real nasty drop
1:52 PM
Or even half way for a Model 2 setup
1:54 PM
Pink supply hopefully keeps our stop safe, rejects, continues down for a complete Wave ride
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
10:41 AM
Potential Model 2 forming in this Supply Zone + Extreme Premium section of the macro range + rejected
Watching to break below the Monthly level for a solid BO$
Also watching to just SFP the lows to take liquidity to go higher or play this as a range back and forth until it breaks
Watching SFP of the highs
10:42 AM
10:42 AM
had a nice short trade from the purple OB earlier
10:43 AM
10:46 AM
10:47 AM
That nVWAP and Monthly level acting as some nice support and resistance levels. That M is a very very strong level to break or to hold.(edited)
10:48 AM
could be backtesting VWAP + POC of this range to retest that M again(edited)
10:49 AM
Maybe even break down and tap into nPOC and demand OB below us.
Quick scalp off that volatile wick back up to the Daily...literally less than a minute trade
11:04 AM
Dang, now it goes lower lol
11:05 AM
ok, watching these lows for another SFP, and the next up back to the OB with the Monthly
11:06 AM
WAtching these OBs for backtests to go lower
11:07 AM
We did front run that Monthly, so we might get a small bounce, and then run through it.
11:09 AM
Watching the higher TFs here as well, as it could be a very nice bullish SFP forming in the next hour or so
11:12 AM
Overall, it would be healthier to come back down and retest $99k-100K, even $97-98k for a bullish move up further.
11:15 AM
BAcktesting Daily level again..Im short, but so very close to getting stopped out
11:15 AM
11:16 AM
Ive made plenty of $$$ Today, Im willing to keep SL here and take the hit if necessary(edited)
11:20 AM
Got me
11:21 AM
That is the 1st FULL Loss I have taken in the last 4-6 weeks(edited)
11:22 AM
Could have mititaged that loss with only a -$70 loss when I had the chance, but I chose to let it ride due to me making alot of $$ on the positions earlier this morning. If I was not up on the day, I would have not stayed in that.
11:23 AM
LESSON: You have to know when to be aggressive and when to be conservative with your wins and your losses.
Long and strong...took 1 TP already, SL in profit...if it comes back down and stops me out, I will look for another entry if it looks good at the 5m OB
12:23 PM
If we break above pdLow, I might add to my position
Nice bounce from the Bullish OB, but did not take the long bc there was nowhere to put a sensible SL that wasnt miles away. This is why I pass on some trades, b/c the SL size does not makes sense. Every trade I plan has to give me a favorable R:R.
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:15 AM
Short from the Order Block from yesterday
9:16 AM
9:17 AM
I knew it was coming for me lol...
9:17 AM
Id like to see it get back to VWAP for a solid retracement for a nice bounce higher
9:24 AM
Break that green line, looking for shorts on a retest
9:27 AM
still looking for shorts here because we are in a massive 8H level of supply
9:30 AM
We are in a tight spot currently, 4H has already had a bearish BOS, now we are sandwiched in between 2 Large 8H OBs.
Supply and Demand are both heavy here.
9:31 AM
CVD pressure is still Red, so leaning towards shorts until that changes
NY is Opening now, so lets see what they do to give us some more data
9:34 AM
The bearish OB we are currently in could be a swing short idea. However, we need to see MS break back bearish on the 5m/15m at least to get in to a heavy handed short.
No one should be longing the top or shorting the bottoms
4:08 PM
#1 in the rule book
4:09 PM
espcially when you see this on the DOM
4:10 PM
Bitcoin even gave you a clean 1m/5m Order block, tradeable with the tiniest stop lost in such a high confluence zone with real time data on the DOM to back it up. EASIEST TRADE EVER!
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:18 AM
9:20 AM
This is the 3rd consecutive inside day on our Session profiles, so I will be looking for most trades in the extremes of the previous 2 profiles, as we are just compressing here, and making tigher and tigher price action in a very tight range that is smack dab in the middle of the bigger ranges.
9:24 AM
For those who like patterns...I dont trade liek this, however I do watch for pattern fakeouts, so I will be watching for traps on both sides for SFPs, or deviations of the pattern, trapping traders, and then market makers throwing price back into the opposite direction.
I will not be as actively scalping today given the current market conditions. I will be working on getting my new trade setup up and running. I will be using some new software, and its going to take alot of time getting all the charts setup, and the execution routing setup. This is crucial to performance in my some of my trading styles. Alot will be changing with all of my trading software, and supporting hardware. So, its going to take me a few weeks to get everything setup, build out chart templates, etc. But this will all be going into my soon to be released SMC course and Advanced Order Flow courses.
9:37 AM
All levels and ideas have been posted here and in my interactive charts
Broke through a sell wall, going for another tight scalp
9:57 AM
10:00 AM
There it is @Alpha Members , $1000+ in 3 back to back scalps, in less than 30 min. Thats how we can make life changing money in less than an hour a day. All it takes is knowledge, practice, discipline, with good Risk Management.
Soon I will have a course on how you can do the same in a detailed step by step process...and much MORE so you will be confident in the knowledge you learn and you wont have any questions on how to apply it.
Breakout above the Supply, flipped to Demand, also flipped the Daily level, using this opportunity to take the highs and stop out the shorts from earlier...took profit at the OB with the Weekly level confluence
Back at VWAP, huge wick through and closed above, looking to long with aggressive buyers
2:04 PM
Did have a bearish 5m BOS, but not on the 10m...just SFP on the 10m
2:05 PM
2:05 PM
SL to BE bc we are hitting small OB of Supply, protecting position
2:06 PM
moving up to lock in $105
2:07 PM
Actually going to move TP down to $104,000
2:07 PM
POC there
2:07 PM
2:07 PM
There it is
2:12 PM
Now, hitting 10m OB where I took that profit + POC
2:12 PM
Try this for another scalp down
2:14 PM
Not looking the best on this one, but going for it anyways
2:15 PM
scalping with the idea of a V shape reversal in mind
2:15 PM
$150 risk, so once my profit get to $150 or 1R, moving the SL to BE
2:17 PM
well, not looking good on this one, big buyers stepping in and outbuying sellers
2:17 PM
Not this time
2:18 PM
SFPd the highs, Im trying it again, f it
2:19 PM
Short again
2:19 PM
going to move SL VERY AGGRESSIVELY on this one.
2:19 PM
there we go, double SFP playing out FTW
2:19 PM
Free trade now
2:20 PM
The follow through is just not there, we want to see strength, faster movement...so it tells me that selling needs to step it up, or else this is going higher
2:22 PM
Got tapped out again, small profit...going to be a bit patient at this point, and lets the next BOS form to get more data, and to see if we can get away from the middle of the range a bit
2:23 PM
2:23 PM
LOL you cant make this stuff up
2:23 PM
taps me out, then form the V shape like I was talking about in my earlier post
2:23 PM
UNREAL
2:26 PM
No lets see if this thing can PUMP
2:32 PM
VWAP Long #3
2:32 PM
IM in
2:33 PM
2:34 PM
TP1 here
2:34 PM
Trailing SL
2:36 PM
If we get there, next TP will be at the local highs + the Daily level
2:38 PM
Buyers being absorbed here, might have a retracement
2:39 PM
need to get back through this resistance
2:42 PM
2:42 PM
flattened
2:44 PM
Well, well, well
2:44 PM
Back at VWAP again
2:45 PM
waiting to see some aggressive buyers and volume step in first
2:46 PM
Price is just sitting there
2:46 PM
small amount of absorption but nothing crazy
2:49 PM
Nothing here yet for a long...calling it a day here
2:50 PM
Everyone enjoy the weekend...yet another great trading week! Get some rest, have some fun, get outside and get some sun!
️
The question on my mind now, "Could this be the Top?"
9:42 AM
Potential Model 2 Distribution forming, has not confirmed, we will need a Daily BOS to the downside to confirm this.
9:43 AM
These 2 blue lines I am watching VERY closely
9:45 AM
We break that first line @ $100,689, not good...
We break the second line @ $93,318, I think the top is in for a while, ad we could see further downside to $48k-$71k (The extreme discount section of the range.)
9:46 AM
Has to be a confirmed BOS, not an SFP...if it wicks those lines then order flow objective is to return to highs.
To remain bullish, BTC really needs to break that $107 with a strong Candle close above
9:58 AM
Testing VWAP now for a potential short.
10:00 AM
(edited)
10:01 AM
10:02 AM
10:03 AM
Right back at VWAP, this is why I take profit quick, when the charts are telling me too, I dont like round trips...so Im aggressive with my SL when counter trading the LTF trend. That play could have ran further down, but it got bought up, once I saw heavy buying coming back in, I GOT OUT!
10:04 AM
Getting Rejected from VWAP again
10:05 AM
Now we watch for sellers to follow though, or see if they are too weak to do so again
10:06 AM
10:07 AM
10:07 AM
Heavy buying again
10:07 AM
I want more conviction to stay in a trade, but not seeing it just yet...maybe another crack at it, buyers and seller definitely putting up a good fight here
10:08 AM
You can see the fight in the wicks...this is volatility
10:09 AM
or you can see the fight on the battle ground in real time, instead of soley relying on lagging candles and indicators
10:10 AM
Both are great, but one allows you to have Xray vision and to find more opportunity
10:15 AM
Stopped at a BE basically on that short attempt...buyers keep coming back...I think we will eventually break VWAP and continue up
10:17 AM
Nice, trying to Break VWAP here...lets see if we can follow the trend this time, and take a trade that runs a bit
Took a loss on the first short attempt here at the GP + VAH + OB
3:42 PM
I want it to sweep the highs, which are poor highs, and then hopefully find a short position
3:42 PM
Also sell wall there as well
3:42 PM
3:43 PM
Take the highs and see if that red line holds us for some absorption for a short position
3:44 PM
CVD already showing Divs, so if it moves up and CVD continues down, it wil be an easy play AS LONG AS we get confirmation!
3:48 PM
NOTE: we have 2 sell walls here, and potential hidden icebergs in between. Going to wait for reactions at each, if we hit the first, it could fill and get pulled as bait to trap people going higher and fomoing into longs to think we are going to new highs. So, just have to be careful when we are so close to the highs here. But those 2 red lines on the charts is about a total of 1000 BTC...Thats alot of BTC!
Super nice trade last night, slept in a bit today....but look at that. BTC eventually went to my target that I had on my screenshots as my final TP for a 27R Trade
Potential break in side the VA. Could see a rotation down to the POC, and even full range rotation down to the VAL and even deviating that VAL...Short the backtest of VAH
We have hit the nPOC and taken the liquidity from our level that we've had on the chart for a while. If we cant push back above that level today and we have a Daily candle close, we will have a Daily SFP which will target the lows of this range.
If we hold above pdHigh, then Im looking for a long to the swing High
9:55 AM
Maybe even a run up past to ptotential new ATH
9:56 AM
I don tsee anything bearish here at all yet, just bullish structure, bullish order flow, bullish intent
9:57 AM
9:59 AM
Not my nice place to long, we are in premium and in supply, its a suicide long tbh, not soemthing Id advocate
10:00 AM
Yup, now it absorbed and falling
10:00 AM
This is a great example of what not to do
10:00 AM
10:00 AM
Going ahead and taking the loss on this one, and reposition
10:06 AM
Getting a nice retracement back into a 2m OB around the POC
10:09 AM
Would like to see this come back down to VWAP for a long, but then we would have to get back above pdHigh, and we are in HTF supply. Being patient might be the best action to take here. Waiting for a better setup. But lets see how we progress
10:10 AM
I will be VERY aggressive with SL until I see strength
10:13 AM
Very quick low risk scalp from POC to pdHigh
10:15 AM
10:16 AM
Not alot of passive orders on the books above us until $109
I want to make something clear, this trade was a no brainer trade...I got in really late because I wanted to see those buyers at the top that bought over 4000BTC at the ATH....
This is why I DONT BREAKOUT trade
Most importantly this is why I love SFP trades
I took this with a bit of a heavier position size than normal because of the context and that those who longed the top were under water. This is the foundational mechanics of liquidity concepts, market structure, and reading order flow in real time.
I assume they are going to try for new highs again
7:16 PM
7:16 PM
that alot of big green balls
7:19 PM
7:20 PM
Not a great idea, but Im going for it anyways lol
7:20 PM
slight abosrption here
7:21 PM
CVD is super bullish, this short idea is a high risk
7:22 PM
I cut this thing early
7:22 PM
Position was too aggressive for the context of this move up
7:23 PM
I think we go to $110-111k
7:23 PM
Yup, cut it just in time
7:24 PM
Bybit did not take the highs earlier like Binance, Coinbase, and CME, so Im glad its taking the high now...if its SFPs the high again, I will look for that short
10R Trade from that rejection @ VWAP, leaving the OB and covering the pdOpen
12:24 PM
Another OB here
12:26 PM
Little low in the range to short this, but its worth a tiny risk
12:27 PM
Might get taken out on this one
12:27 PM
Lot of shorts are taking profit here
12:28 PM
12:28 PM
Yup, I got popped
12:28 PM
Cant win em all
12:28 PM
I was due for a full loss on one, I felt it coming HAHAHA
12:29 PM
That one was a bit risky...why? Because we were back in the discount section of the range. Could it have worked, sure...sometimes it does...but its not high probability. But I was playing with house money and was wiilling to risk it. If it was my first trade of the day, I would have NEVER touched it....Context matters(edited)
If we flip the supply + pdLow...should head back up to the VAL
12:17 PM
and aiming for VWAP
12:17 PM
I have taken profit enough to make this a solid trade, and SL in profits so free trade
12:18 PM
This could very well come back to sweep the lows once more or to make a bigger dip into our demand OB, as it tapped it to the dollar. So I am also looking at this as a 1st tap
12:19 PM
Furthermore, if we break structure and flip that supply, I will look to add to this trade on any pullback
This could very well come back to sweep the lows once more or to make a bigger dip into our demand OB, as it tapped it to the dollar. So I am also looking at this as a 1st tap
I knew that was going to be TAP 1 when entered that long. Another reason I dont like to let the first trade from a level run long, unless its a V shape recovery. I like TP aggressive on first tap, because I know in a zone like this we will most likely hit it a 2nd, or 3rd time....usually 3 taps are Wycoff models. In this case, we had a Wycoff Model 2.
The more ya know, the safer you can trade because you already know the true intentions of the market maker.
There is a Daily + VAL + 786 level right below us that would be nice to look for a long there
10:01 AM
IF we can hit that while SFP the current low, that would be best scenario
10:02 AM
10:03 AM
I like that we are forming a mini range here, spending some time, getting longs involved here, building them up, only to take them out, and then go
10:04 AM
This is why Id like to see and SFP of the low, to give more fuel to the fire for a long, otherwise, it might just continue to go further down.
10:06 AM
In that case I would like to see this, and SFP of pdLow
10:07 AM
This would trap alot of breakout traders thinking we are breaking out to the downside b/c its breaching swing lows, and then trap those shorts forcing to liquidate their positions which would fuel the price for longs
Going to try the short again, bit of a riskier trade as I dont like shorting directly into VWAP after a bounce, logically not a great setup, but Im playing with house money and willing to risk a small a mount for it
12:44 PM
CONTEXT: The 4H SFP could be telling us that we want to continue on bullish uptrend that we currently have, and make a HH on the 4H TF...so if I get stopped out, and we reclaim the dOpen, I will flip long at some point given a good setup
This was exactly what I was saying to look out for at the D BOS level...We did not create a break of structure, however, we did SFP it, so now the market structure objective is up, and now we see at this point that its already made a nice recovery overnight.
9:43 AM
With that said, we are coming to a Supply area, and it a potential short here if confirmations are present
9:46 AM
This is a 12H order block as well, so very HTF OB. If we blast past it with no sort of significant rejection, then I will bias longs today....and keep shorts...short
We have a very nice Wycoff accumulation forming here....probably means my short is toast, and I missed the long from the bottom.
9:16 AM
Going to take another TP here to cut more out of this trade, and keep SL right at BE to see if I have a fighting chance..but none the less, a good trade from yesterday
taking TP 1 here, de risking SL move close to entry
1:59 PM
Took the L
2:00 PM
Buy wall got absorbed and blew through it...heavy sellers attacked aggressively
2:01 PM
backtesting that Weekly level and liquidity wal level
2:02 PM
2:02 PM
2:02 PM
TRailing SL got hit
2:04 PM
Finally coming down to Extremde Discount section of this massive range
2:09 PM
2:10 PM
2:10 PM
TP1 here, SL to entry
2:10 PM
This could be a quick recovery, but we are in a big demand...lots of times we could come back for a 2 and 3 tap for a wycoff accumulation if we are expecting to get back into range and possible range rotation
2:11 PM
Took profit on first impulse move up to Weekly level
2:11 PM
almost took me out
2:12 PM
For this to go anywhere, I want to see acceptance back into the range, blowing past the VAL, and then to pdEQ, was is now the last level of Supply before the breakdown
2:13 PM
However, we could come deeper into this OB of Demand since we just tapped into it. Im keeping my eyes open for all scenarios here and covering my position.
2:14 PM
#1 Rule of Trading is RISK MANAGEMENT!
2:14 PM
2:14 PM
I wasnt wrong lol
2:15 PM
seeking liquidity
2:17 PM
Verry heavyy handed seller heree
2:18 PM
At this point I think we go for the lows like mentioned earlier
2:18 PM
lets see if we sweep pdLow
2:19 PM
Unfortunately, Im going to have to leave, I have an errand to run and grab lunch, Ive been on the screens non stop..and Im starving
2:20 PM
At this points its nothing but catching knives, which is really dangerous unless you really know what youre doing and locking in profits quickly to manage risk. I will wait for the waterfall to stop, and build structure at this point.
The dump took us down to the extreme discount section of this range, we put in a good low so far, but we are now forming a local range.
Currently at the deviation zone 1 of that local range.
9:37 AM
Local Setups
Long from Vwap + OB at the midpoint of the range
Short from Deviation Zone 2 + OB + Weekly Level
9:39 AM
Long from the lows, potentially hitting deviation zone 1 or 2 into the lower areas of demand + Daily level
9:40 AM
*Keep in mind, the Daily MS level is not far below us...we need to stay above that to remain bullish. With geopolitical wars, anything can happen here. Keep your head on as swivel. *
9:41 AM
9:48 AM
Daily Market Structure
9:50 AM
Daily H/L
9:53 AM
Nothing too crazy on the order books so far today, at least locally anyways
Lets see if it can tap into the OB and reclaim VWAP
10:23 AM
Getting absorption here, but the market buys are weak atm
10:24 AM
need a massive green bubble
10:24 AM
They are fighting it out at VWAP here
10:25 AM
Still would rather see that demand hit and then reclaim
10:26 AM
So far bulls have no strength
10:26 AM
10:27 AM
Buyers have got to step in now! aggresively
1
10:28 AM
10:31 AM
We have broken MTF Market structure to the down side...so, I am going to also keep my eyes our for SHORTS!
2
10:35 AM
We flip this supply, Id be more interested in long
1
10:41 AM
Quick long scalp from that supply flip breakout...late entry, very quick in and out...didnt want to hang on to it, b/c I m not yet convinced that the bulls are taking over.
10:42 AM
10:42 AM
This is why I exited that trade
10:42 AM
Bearish CVD
10:42 AM
under aggregated VWAP
10:42 AM
Now the bulls are stepping in....growing wings lol
10:44 AM
10:44 AM
Just a very quick scalp
10:44 AM
in and out
10:46 AM
we nailed the aggr VWAP on book map
10:46 AM
Looking to long that small demand if we get continuation confirmations
10:47 AM
closing short
10:47 AM
10:48 AM
If bulls want to take over, we need to relaim $104800
10:49 AM
coming into POC + VAH on the Session profile...same as TPO profiles
10:50 AM
Would rather long from this OB + VWAP
10:51 AM
I dunno, I have a feeling, shorts are still in style today
10:57 AM
10:57 AM
10:58 AM
I meant to take a partial trade here, but closed the entire damn trade out on accident....FML
10:58 AM
Maybe it happened for a reason
10:58 AM
10:58 AM
Bearish BOS on the 30m
10:59 AM
10:59 AM
Yet, just a 1H SFP
11:04 AM
Shorting VAH
11:04 AM
moving SL aggressively in profit
11:05 AM
taking it there
11:05 AM
11:06 AM
11:06 AM
TP at the aggr POC + VWAP
JP Trades
I meant to take a partial trade here, but closed the entire damn trade out on accident....FML
Into a nice zone here...stalling....watching the range here to give me further context
11:46 AM
just swept internal highs
11:48 AM
big sell wall with absorption
11:48 AM
lets see if we get that whale action
11:48 AM
11:51 AM
11:51 AM
This is risky aggressive entry, b/c no bearish MS BOS just yet
11:52 AM
But I dont mind the risk being a good week
11:52 AM
If we I do get tapped out, I will look for a MS BOS next and re enter
11:53 AM
or add to trade if that happens first
11:53 AM
Be Careful!
11:53 AM
We are compressing here
11:54 AM
wick coming in from both sides
11:54 AM
the sell wall has been pulled
11:54 AM
covering trade aggressively with SL
11:55 AM
11:55 AM
took TP1 here at bottom of range, SL to BE...FREE Trade
11:56 AM
11:56 AM
1
11:56 AM
TP again around aggr VWAP
11:57 AM
Sell wall is moving down with the move!!!!
11:57 AM
1
11:58 AM
IF I get taken out, cool...I will find another entry
11:58 AM
11:58 AM
Ill take it BABY!
11:59 AM
Tiny risk on re-entry
1
12:02 PM
12:02 PM
moving SL down...order book is still trying to turn bullish, but its getting a bit weaker here
12:04 PM
1
12:04 PM
move SL above sell wall a bit and above range highs to try and let it live if it may
12:07 PM
Took the tiny L
12:10 PM
Looking for RIMC Short here
12:11 PM
We did get that LTF BOS, for the entry short, but I like to take profits on the first big impulse like this, b/c we have to always keep in mind the bigger picture, the MTF and HTF order flow objective.
12:12 PM
12:12 PM
Let me ask you....Does this look bearish on the 15m, or 30m? NOPE
12:12 PM
We are above VAH
12:13 PM
NO market structure break of any kind, just a minor pull pack so far....but keep your eyes out on if we break back into value...or we go up and try to find acceptance in previous days value area....simple
12:13 PM
Value area to value area
12:14 PM
12:14 PM
TPO Value areas
12:14 PM
DONT lose sight of the bigger picture
12:16 PM
This is how I knew to keep that 2nd short on the re-entry a small position, and a very small risk...b/c it didnt show me that I should do anymore than that.
12:19 PM
BTW, this is why I alwys have 3 Windows open on Trading View for BTC
Main chart
TPO chart
SVP chart
12:20 PM
I can always take a quick glance and see whats going on with the profiles and a higher TF
12:20 PM
We will get into the weeds of this in the new courses coming soon.
super short scalp on the way to the weekly, had tp set there
12:39 PM
now blown through it, so no long there obviously
12:41 PM
This type of PA is absorption easily seen on the charts
12:41 PM
Still looking for potential RIMC Long
12:42 PM
Last remaining demand in this range
12:44 PM
A 3rd tap into the highs could make a decent wycoff, but im not convinced that we dont go higher to $107k to hit previous VA + nPOC...at least that where I would prefer more of a swing short idea
A 3rd tap into the highs could make a decent wycoff, but im not convinced that we dont go higher to $107k to hit previous VA + nPOC...at least that where I would prefer more of a swing short idea
Just a quick scalp to see if we could break the range here, but got tapped out
10:17 AM
This is our 5m Range....we keep tapping the supply we are in over and over and getting some absorption/exhaustion...
10:18 AM
Es is still inching closer to its supply zone, so I think we need to see what happens at that point
10:19 AM
We had nice absorption at the aggr VWAP for that long I took, wish I didnt get stopped out on that, but I like profits so I take aggressive profits and SL moves to keep my wins coming in, and to mitigate unnecessary loses.
10:22 AM
Yea that long at the OB + aggr VWAP turned out nice.
10:23 AM
10:23 AM
Quick short scalp on the SFP + absorb
10:23 AM
TP1 already, sl to BE
10:24 AM
10:25 AM
1
10:25 AM
SFP of the high of the 5m range, CVD absorption as well as absorption indicator going off on Book Map
10:25 AM
Clear as day scalp
10:26 AM
ES hitting the supply
10:27 AM
10:27 AM
This OB is also around the aggr VWAP
10:28 AM
would be nice to test it, continue on the demand chain
10:28 AM
We are so close to the GP at this point, I dont see how we dont go up more and hit it
10:30 AM
10:31 AM
giving this a shot, SL already at BE, because it could come right back as we are still getting a bit of CVD divs
10:31 AM
risky position so Im not taking chances on a risky setup like this
10:32 AM
technically a breakout trade, and I hate breakout trades
10:32 AM
but IVe seen this so much, I dont dont see how we dont hit the deviation zone or the GP
10:33 AM
10:33 AM
Like I said
10:33 AM
10:33 AM
went ahead and just took it all of the table since we hit the deviations zone with a strong wick
10:34 AM
looks like shes going to run up a bit though
10:34 AM
Now, deviation Zone 2 + GP
10:34 AM
Thats what Im talking about
10:36 AM
and just like that, with strong buying that bearish CVD div lived only for a temporary time, then aggressor came in and hit the buy button
10:36 AM
This is how we read order flow in real time, and trade it by locking in profits, and using structure and range theory as our contextual foundation for trading. SMC + Orderflow for the win.
Counter trend scalp, no MSS, quick in and out(edited)
10:47 AM
For a longer short opportunity here, Id like it to build a range here, sweep those poor highs we just put in, and then create a bearish BOS for a better entry with confidence.
lets see if we can make our way down to pwEQ this time
12:47 PM
we have to break the local lows for anything significant here...could just mitigate demand and go higher
12:48 PM
12:48 PM
SL taken out
12:48 PM
I was expecting a bit lower tbh
12:53 PM
12:53 PM
Trying this short, I dont like the size of the stop, dont usually like doing this, I should have entered in with a smaller position, but I did it on accident. Oh well, lets hope this supply holds, Im just targeting the local range low
12:54 PM
But this is still Counter Trend...so not smart on my part. Just fair warning, a bit risky
Lots of wicks here in this supply...have some absorption, but we need some heavy handed sellers to follow through now
1:19 PM
Have a feeling we are going up to $108k
1:20 PM
1:25 PM
Yup, I had a feeling that was not going to work out.
Lets go over what went wrong, so maybe people can take away a lesson here...
Coming into the order block of supply that I wanted to short from was massive, which led to a big SL, when considereing the probable TP level was the currentl local range low, which led to a bad R:R. I also did not wait for a candle close on entry, b/c I was rushing it, so I entered way to early, thinking I was going to get a nice flush back down where I could manage the trade correctly with a quick SL move..
I had a change where I was actually in the green about $50 profit, but chose to just let it ride. Should have cut it here, and went to the next trade with a higher probability.
Lesson - Dont get too aggressive on entries when we have a big OB, especially when it is a counter trend position.
Wasnt a horrible idea overall, but if I would have waited until price got deeper into that order block I could have had a quick scalp out of it because we did get a nice flush down, just no follow through on the move...why? B/c trend is still bullish.
1:29 PM
After taking a couple losses, I like to take some time away from the chart..5-10 minuts...go outside, go for a walk, do squats, pushups...come back, clear the charts, reanalyze, reset, go back to higher timeframes and review context and overal markets structure, and order flow objective.
1:30 PM
1:31 PM
I like this area for a bigger short opportunity
1:31 PM
But we also have poor Highs at the top of this range.
1:32 PM
I would focus on trying to catch a continuation long.
1:33 PM
If we break through the GP (which is where we are at now), there is not alot of volume in the profile, we have a LVN section which price should pass through until it gets some resistance at that VAH. There is alot of resistance right above the VAH as well with a W + D + nPOC + Supply. (the area with the blue box)
We have been getting absorption at the highs over and over again
1:57 PM
We drop, or continue to squeeze the shorts
1:59 PM
would like to see this
2:00 PM
problem is, we are also getting slight bullish CVD at the POC
2:04 PM
2:04 PM
Bulls tryin to make new highs lol
2:05 PM
They want to see $120K next
2:05 PM
Cant even get a short down to demand out of this thing.
2:06 PM
Trying to short this 10m Order block.
2:07 PM
Again, not a great short idea with no real MS break...but trying it anyways
2:07 PM
will cover quickly because not alot of confirmation here
2:08 PM
Plus we SFPd the local internal low
2:08 PM
Would have been great to make an actual BOS
2:09 PM
Yea, this is no bueno
2:09 PM
2:09 PM
cutting it here, going to lunch
2:11 PM
IMPORTANT NOTE: I would not be taking the last 3 risky setups if I did not already make some decent money to play with...Im taking riskier positions because I have the ability to without sweating it.
2:12 PM
Going to lunch...if BTC falls now when I just go out of my short, I will not forgive you! lol
Just like we talked about earlier today. That area was super confluence zone. Golden Zone + Mega Supply Zone + W + D + VAH + Several Sell Walls on Book Map + Extreme Premium of the Macro Range. I really hope someone caught that trade, I unfortunately missed out, but that was a very nice setup.
Couple medium sized buy walls building below in our zone we are waiting on
10:09 AM
10:09 AM
Thats what Im talking about
10:09 AM
Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan
10:10 AM
Price front ran our level...which happens all the time...some times that means next time we revist, they get blown through with force
10:11 AM
The reason I knew to get out, was because of Order Flow...reading the order flow in real time, and knowing the behavior or market makers that often do this
10:12 AM
would have been an amazing long from that OB as well, but did not have the time to take it
coming into demand...but like I said before, lots of times when we front run a level, that level might get blown through next...we have lots of stop losses below that low now
10:20 AM
or we could bounce from this demand, if the bulls want to defend their level
10:21 AM
would be a nice V shape recovery
10:26 AM
10:26 AM
took another small proit here deep in demand, SL further into profit
10:26 AM
could bounce at this deman, so Im lockin in profit when I can, and covering my position...this is how I dont see alot of losses, I keep locking it in, I dont hold my positions forever.
10:27 AM
I know Ive said this over and over, but its important to.
10:28 AM
If I get tapped out...fine, still made money...I will always find another way to get back in, or wait patiently for the next setup...Yall have seen me week after week doing the same thing here. I dont just take 1 trade a week, or 1 trade a day. There are MANY opportunities!
Just checkin in on ES here, still getting rejected at VAH
12:25 PM
We are getting Bearish CVD here
12:27 PM
12:27 PM
Building a decent buy wall here, we need big purple balls to break through
12:27 PM
That low, did create a bullish CVD Div
12:33 PM
my current position has not moved, still sticking with the plan here...not enough data for me to change anything here just yet
12:35 PM
Take a look at this zoomed out a bit on the 4H, lets always remember location...location..location
Location is everything in trading
12:36 PM
We are currently at the 786 fib of this local pull (two blue circles)
12:36 PM
This means we are in the extreme discount section of this range...
12:36 PM
12:37 PM
We are also in the extreme discount section of the bigger range
12:37 PM
So this is an area of a high confluence long opportunity, however, we do have liquidity below, VAL, and Demand OB left below...
12:38 PM
But this is where we build context to look for the next big long opportunity..but we need to see some bullish confirmation to do so. We dont just blindly long based on location alone.
12:38 PM
My stance is still...reclaim mOpen, we look for longs.
12:38 PM
mOpen = 5m Bullish BOS
12:39 PM
so we did get that bullish CVD right when hitting the 786 fib to the dollar
12:39 PM
12:39 PM
Got taken out of that trade BTW
12:41 PM
This is great time to use range theory to guide us in building contect of what happening
12:42 PM
SFP this mini local range, up to the Extreme premium into supply inside this range, seeing a bit of rejection
12:42 PM
12:42 PM
Its all the same no matter what TF you are on...Price Action if FRACTAL
12:44 PM
We do have poor lows currently on the current market profile
12:44 PM
Most likely to revist lows again now
12:44 PM
12:45 PM
Taking halff off at the Range low here
12:45 PM
12:45 PM
SL in profit
12:46 PM
All these things im sharing, is how I build context to not long yet
12:48 PM
Alto of what Im teaching here in this channel will be in my upcoming course. But in much greater detail, and practical applications on how to put all together. But this is how we scalp..This is how I find enldess opportunities on that charts, day in and day out, many different time frames, ANY ASSETS, and able to create a repeatable process by fully understanding the markets
Man wasnt expecting that from that long, but Ill take it
3:48 PM
3:48 PM
This supply is very important
3:49 PM
So far we have reclaimed the VAL, mOpen, pdLow, POC...We break above this supply, and reclaim VWAP, GAME ON for Bulls
3:52 PM
3:53 PM
Looking for a Supply 2 Demand Flip here to take all the way up to pdHigh
3:53 PM
At that point we need to see if we SFP the pdHigh, or potentially hold for longer if we make a clean break above it
3:56 PM
Today has been a damn good day of trading. Hope everyone took a trade or two, and learned a thing or two.
1
3:57 PM
3:58 PM
Im off to the gym for a bit. Have my alerts set. Will take a trade on my phone if I have to...even though I hate it. But if we get that S2D Flip, Im going in.
We are still in this local range, would have been a nice short from the premium of the range over night.
9:08 AM
We managed to get over VWAP, but did so in Asia session, which I rarely trade. Not awake for London.
Although we managed to break VWAP, we are still getting rejected by the supply we talked about yesterday that I wanted to flip. NO Flip
Now, we play the range until it breaks and shows us conviction on direction.
Building a range here is good, as we can expect an expansion move away at some point.
So far we still have not revisted the lows of this range, so would like to see that Demand hit at the bottom of the range, or the lows swepts completely
9:09 AM
9:12 AM
SFP both previous lows, sweeping liquidity into the Order Block, coming back into the range for a move up
9:13 AM
Sweeping the macro range Low, wich is also the Daily BOS Low, and then coming back in, which could be a swing long setup.
9:15 AM
So far this looks like a re-distribution to go lower, so we would need to see some accumulation model at the lows to form to counter that, or its going lower.
Guess what, we got that full rotation....check it out
10:18 AM
Moving target out as we have broken back into the Weekly VA
10:19 AM
If this thing does decide to run, targeting the Poor Highs
10:20 AM
Getting small bearish CVD here locally at this supply, could see a pullback before higher...hoping aggressors buy into it and break it
10:20 AM
YES! Just like that
10:21 AM
Coming up to AGGR VWAP
10:21 AM
Taking another profit here, going to let the rest ride
10:22 AM
-If we break above this VAH, above the Weeklu levels, backtest...I will look to add to this trade, might turn in to a full day/swing trade
10:23 AM
about to backtest TPO VAH
10:26 AM
We have tons of big buyers here...if we break down, could stop out alot of the people who longed...like me! But could make a smooth fast move down
10:29 AM
Could be an internal SFP here, if we dont break this high
10:30 AM
We have a small demand right below us, maybe slight retracement then bounce
10:31 AM
Adding small chunck to my long here at this deman
10:32 AM
If we come back down to VWAP, I will be stopped out, and looking to reposition if comfirmations are there.
10:34 AM
Moving SL just under this demand to properly manage this trade...If if breaks that demand, then we know we will likely come back down to VWAP or even lower. So I want out at that point to take my profits, and reposition properly
10:39 AM
Going for the 2nd attemp to break the AGGR VWAP here
10:39 AM
After mitigating that demand, I think we can do it
10:40 AM
Looking for the highs to get taken, and that Weekly Level up next.
Just like that, another full rotation back down in our SVP....this is why these are so important to also consider in trading. I hope people are seeing this over time if you are here following me.
10:57 AM
That internal SFP was a nice short opportunity..also the rejection of the AGGR VWAP as we showed in real time
(edited)
10:58 AM
Could be a long here at the VAL + Breaker Block + SP Fill
10:59 AM
You can see we closed below that TPO VAH as well...once that candle closed below, you had acceptance back into the VA, a rejection of the VAH...could have entered that short there
10:59 AM
This is how I build Context and Confluence on a trade like that short...we had many signs
11:02 AM
Internal SFP
TPO VAH rejection
SVP VAH rejection
AGGR VWAP rejection
Hitting old supply that has rejected us already 2-3 times
We need to close above VAL for any sign of strength at all
12:56 PM
Bulls have 3m to close this candle green
12:57 PM
Taking a small chunk of profit here to cover a potential loss but to keep my SL in same position
(edited)
12:57 PM
12:59 PM
Coudl be the calm before the storm...coiling up before FOMC in 1H
1:02 PM
Closed above VAL, but they have to hold the line...if its going to restest VAL, fine...but its got to move with conviction after that retest, or I just see it as weakness or a lack of participation....and we already have seen what has happened at VWAP 2x now. To me this is instiutional sign of selling, not to mention the re-distribution pattern that I talked about forming this morning in this range.
1:02 PM
Denied!
1:04 PM
I had about 4 chances on that trade to take profit of about $200 and move SL to BE..but I didnt b/c Im playing with house money and already had a super small risk , I didnt care...but if that was my first trade of the day, or didnt have big profits yet, I would have played that much differently. Let that be very clear!
1:09 PM
Back at Demand
1:10 PM
TP1 at previous supplu that caused the break
1:11 PM
went ahead and TP1 on the front ran, just in case sellers take back over...risky counter trend trade here
1:12 PM
Also take note of the rejection or acceptance back into the VA for holding this longer, or exiting.
1:13 PM
Trapped sellers at the low...those big purple balls are under water now. They are caught offside. They will have to market back in with bigger orders to save their position, or let it go, which will fuel the move up.
1:14 PM
Bear CVD div here at that sell wall, they are going to battle this out.
Long from the 2m BOS from the last remaining demand
4:38 PM
TP1 here at the internal SFP, guarding position
4:40 PM
Finally back to VWAP
4:41 PM
Now lets see if we have the strength to break it and reclaim it
4:42 PM
We are showing some liquidations here at VWAP
4:45 PM
The long weve been waitin for all day
4:48 PM
@0xquasar This is a great example of what I look for at a level like VWAP, to know if we are going to break and reclaim it...so to answer your question from earlier, I look for a number of things...but in this example, we see heavy buying, the order book, and volum were delta positive, and right at the vwap (yellow line) we had a liquidation spike...shorts getting stopped out...a short exits long, so that now fuels the move up....which is why I mark out those liquidation waves on my charts..b/c we know that if we get to those levels where shorts could be hiding their stop, it could be a smooth move through that liquidity wave just like we are getting now.
(edited)
1
4:50 PM
4:52 PM
Choking the rest of this trade out
4:54 PM
This is how I manage some of my trades, especially ones that are going straight up. Everytime we get a nice candle up, I move back the TP, and the SL up all together, creating a bracket that moves up with price. Soon I will be encorporating this logic into a trading terminal to do this for me.
4:55 PM
Trailing SL tight b/c could be another internal SFP into a supply level which is one of my bread and butter setups..
4:56 PM
Yup, SFP engaged
4:56 PM
4:59 PM
-SFP Short from Supply retest
5:00 PM
no structure here, just taking this based off internal SFP, hopging to scalp back down to VWAP, after the move up with this much strength, has bit lower probaiblity, but such a small risk, why not...
5:02 PM
Flash wick almost hit my TP
5:05 PM
Choking this trade out too
5:07 PM
5:08 PM
And now it hits vwap lol
5:09 PM
Would expect a fall back down to the AGGR POC + VWAP area that is also the previous high we brokeout from for a retest
5:14 PM
Well thats it for me today folks...Its been yet another damn good day of trading. I really hope everyone is hear following this and learning.
I am dropping tons of golden nuggets lately, that I normally do not share outside of my 1-on-1 coaching, and soon to come courses.
I am showing you exactly what is going on in my head almost to the exact minute of every trade, pretty much the entire NY session.
Im showing you every bit of what I am analyzing
Im showing you my plans
Showing you what I look for on my entries
Showing you how I manage the trades, and exits...
Most importantly, Im showing you why.
While there is much more to the puzzle, this is as much as I can do in brief moments of posting with screenshots and narration as the trades develop in real time.
I do my aboslute best to update everything here ASAP, but I do have to trade too, and the analyzing on my side and execution on my side does take time. But I am updating you in the very next second I get to post everything...
1
5:15 PM
IF you are enjoying this, and getting some value from it, please show some love. React to my posts, ask questions, lets get engaged...lets all learn from each other. This is community, and I want everyone to progress, grow, and reach their wildest goals you can possibly imagine. Trust me, I was once a beginner, in your shoes, and I promise you, if I can do it, you all can too.
We already have a 1 and 2 Tap, potentially forming a Wycoff Accumulation.
This would be a perfect setup, b/c it would break the main swing low of this range, and would create panic and fear in the markets...Retail money would most likely sell or short the breakout of that low.
This would trap tons of retail shorts, selling into the hands of the market maker, making that 3rd Tap of a Model 1 Wycoff.
SFP the Daily Swing structure low, into a nPOC + OB of Demand, yet closing back above the previous low..traping tons of sellers, catching them offside, and then liquidating them which would turn tons of shorts into longs when their stop losses get hit, fueling a nice move back to the upside, for a range rotation, or potentially a new high.
This would also breach that $100,000 level, which is a huge psychological level at this point. Would be a perfect trap setup for the bulls.
(edited)
9:19 AM
Would also be in favor to go up first, clear the nPOC + Poor Highs out at the top of this range, then go down for that 3rd tap, which would engineer even more liquidity for our liquidity wave to the top. If I was a Market Maker, this is what I would engineer.
9:21 AM
So many stop losses above these highs at this point as well...I definitely want to see the highs taken, Poor Highs cleaned.
maybe VWAP then down, decent TL break possible...but that 45m SFP could mean revisit the highs...VWAP will tell me what I want to see
10:27 AM
Would want to see us break that TL, and trade back below the Daily level for a short
10:28 AM
Getting close to AGGR VWAP + POC, would be a great place to short from here if we are going to get anything at all
10:29 AM
Very small CVD div here
10:33 AM
Lock it in, not convinced that just yet, until we close a 5m candle below pdEQ
10:34 AM
Taking small TP1 here, moving SL down even more to pdEQ
10:35 AM
actually moving down a bit more, I dont want this to come back up at all
10:35 AM
Needs to blow past this low
10:36 AM
nice 5m close though
10:37 AM
We have 10m OB here
10:38 AM
Not letting this come back up on me at all, it need to not bounce here at this 10m OB, or I want out..so putting my SL just above it
10:38 AM
Since we have lower volume, less participants in the market today, Im going to be extremely aggressive on locking profits in.
10:40 AM
Newly created 10m OB in pink...so if I get stopped, cool...make some profit, can look for another entry for a 3rd time at that OB
10:41 AM
I dont have to try and take one trade to run the entire way, and risk it round tripping me and not making anything at all...doesnt make sense to me. I take profits, stack wins, and find ways to get back in.
10:41 AM
10:42 AM
Tapped out, now look for that pink OB for a potential retest for another short.
10:44 AM
Context: ES just hit a nPOC + Gap fill + OB
(edited)
10:45 AM
Flash absorption
10:51 AM
10:51 AM
10:57 AM
Back at pdVAL...hoping to break lower b/c Im short, but this very well could find support again.
10:58 AM
De-risking here
10:58 AM
Scratch that, were moving into profit
11:00 AM
Tapped out, Ill take it
11:01 AM
Yup glad I did
11:05 AM
This and order flow was telling me to be aggressive on those scalp shorts
11:05 AM
Always have to zoom back out and keep the bigger moves in mind.
11:06 AM
Would like to see us revisit that OB and then maybe a leg down to the 786 + OB in the discount section of the range
11:07 AM
Sweeping the lows like I said earlier this morning would be ideal though. Would loof for an SFP at the range lows
11:09 AM
Also keeping in mind the pdVAL as confluence like I mentioned a moment ago, could potentially finding a support there which was also the GP
11:09 AM
I use all these tools to build ultimate confluence.
11:11 AM
If we start selling below that big blue ball, then they will be trapped and say goodbye to this being support.
Had absorption right at this micro OB, took a late entry, SL to BE
11:54 AM
11:54 AM
CVD Div
11:54 AM
SL move aggressively as we are runnning into same buy wall here
11:55 AM
Tapped out
11:56 AM
Keep getting absorption at the Golden Pocket here...will look to reject again at this supply in pink, or flip it, break structure, for a potential long
11:57 AM
Still ultimately wanting this to fall below to that OB + 786, or take out the lows completely
11:58 AM
Creating a new liquidity wave to the top side. would be nice to sweep both the highs and lows of this range as I discussed in my plan this morning...its making a long play look extra juicy if we keep engineering more liquidity like this. I like it.
Ok, Im back...lets see if we cant find another long entry down here somewhere...I really would like it to come down just a bit further for another long.
3:40 PM
Look at both deviation zones get hit to perfection
3:40 PM
Looking for this OB in green to get hit for a potential long
3:41 PM
If not, SFP the lows, or continue down to that massive limit order
3:45 PM
If we SFP this internal low and snap in and out of that OB, Im going long
We have 2 rows of single prints and this order block is in the way. If we can break through, we might get a nice move down to previous demand.
10:19 AM
Got rejected again
10:22 AM
3rd times a charm?
10:24 AM
10:25 AM
TP1 hit
10:25 AM
SL move aggressive behind price...hiting single prints
10:26 AM
Completely filled the first row...left poor highs
10:27 AM
Next Row of SPs to fill
1
10:27 AM
Big Buy wall here as well
10:28 AM
Tapped out
10:34 AM
GOLDEN Lesson
I dont trade like alot of people do, so I know many people wouldnt have taken that same trade 3 times.
I shorted the VWAP and those W Levels 3 times to get into this trade. Each time I was able to take a small profit.
When it doesnt go your way the first time, it doesnt mean that it wont go your way eventually. Sometimes it takes time.
Others may have just taken the trade and put their SL at the high and had one good trade...thats fully valid...but I get 3 trades out of the same position...the same trade idea.
I am able to take profits and guard my position instead of it getting round tripped.
I am able to de-risk my trade quickly and lock in profits instead of being exposed for a potential full loss.
The reasons, and ways I do this will be thoroughly outlined in the course in great detail, or in #🎯│-1-on-1-coaching
I manage risk very differently than most people do. But this is the way that feels safest to me, and it allows me to maintain a 70-85% WR...sometimes higher.
10:36 AM
BTW Short again from the SP Backtest, looking to fill the second row of SPs, maybe get down deeep into that demand level below.
If we get lucky, go all the way down and take out the Poor Lows
10:36 AM
Or I get stopped out in small profit....all is ok with me, b/c Im stacking wins with this style of risk/trade management
10:37 AM
Tapped out
10:39 AM
Backtest VAL + OB
(edited)
10:41 AM
Short again
10:41 AM
TP1 here at this demand level
(edited)
10:42 AM
10:42 AM
Filling the SPs now
10:43 AM
Aggressive SL moves
10:43 AM
Got it!
10:44 AM
SP now all have 2 blocks instead of 1...SPs have been filled...Target hit..This is how we trade!
10:44 AM
Next up, deeper into Demand, potential to take out Poor Lows
10:45 AM
Coming into to POC
10:45 AM
Could be a potential long here soon, if we get confirmations
10:47 AM
Remeber what I mentions yesterday..
We were engineering liquidity on both sides of this range.
We have already swept the top side.
If we dont het confirmations on the long, the objective could be to sweep out the bottom side next.
10:50 AM
Wow, sooo much selling pressure
10:50 AM
Stops getting triggered
10:51 AM
So close to the Poor Lows
10:51 AM
10:53 AM
I missed the pdEQ backtest...I would like to short, but theres no level here for me to backtest, or anything that looks good...same for the longs. Just waiting patiently now.
10:54 AM
Backtest off of VAL
10:55 AM
1st Poor Low taken out
10:55 AM
10:55 AM
Lets see if we can sweep all of these lows
10:56 AM
They did not let my short live very long...bastards
10:57 AM
pdLow up next
11:00 AM
If we dont find support at this weekly VA, BTC might be in trouble
11:01 AM
Both Poor Lows have been cleaned
11:02 AM
Tried for a quick backtest short with tight SL @ pdLow, got denied LOL
11:03 AM
Lots of SLs getting hit
Small local absorption
Delta Flip
11:03 AM
Perfect confirmation
11:03 AM
TP1 backtesting those lows
11:04 AM
SL move
11:05 AM
I dont think this is the low. Id like to see a range put in here.
This local pattern is giving me re-distribution vibes, but its super low TF to really call it.
2:32 PM
And we mad poor highs
2:32 PM
2:33 PM
Prefer that high to be taken and into that tiny OB, but if we get above that OB could get into squeezing shorts...tough call atm. No amazing confirmations just yet
Been another amazing week of trading! Hope everyone has a great weekend. Take some time away from the charts, get outside, visit friends and family. Come back refreshed!
Still would prefer it to come back down one more time...this would allow it to have structure at the lows here, dip down into that demand below us, take out the nPOC, and then break the structure we just make around the pdLow. But its the weekend, geopolitical stuff hot and heavy right now...so price can do whatever it wants.
10:10 AM
If we do this quickly in the next few hours, it would allow for a 6/8H SFP to confirm all the while mitigating those levels below.
There we go, I love it when BTC gives me what I want
Not out of the woods YET...We have 1.5H for us to close above the previous Low. If we dont close above and confirm the SFP on the 4H and even the 6/8H...this could be bad. If we dont, then expect to see much lower.
10:27 AM
nPOC Hit!
10:31 AM
I am taking a very early, very RISKY long here...DO NOT follow this! DO NOT!
I am willing to lose some of my profits on this. I know this going into this...Im playing with house money from my winning during this week.
10:33 AM
I do NOT mind taking the loss after having a good week...I normally wouldnt do this, espcially with the political news, but Im taking a risky trade, and its a gamble!
Just trying to be transparent on my trades here.
10:34 AM
Nice SFP so far
TP1 already taken to cover any potential loss, and moved SL right under wick.
If I get taken out, its still a win!
(edited)
10:34 AM
This is now a risk FREE trade Do NOT follow...very RISKY
I had a short trade from pdOpen to VWAP, but order routing on Trading View is having some massive delays. I wasn't able to get a screenshot of this trade. Im going to have to do a shutdown and reboot everything to see if this helps.
PSA: Stop Asking About Leverage — It Doesn’t Matter (Read This)
Every week I keep getting asked the same questions about leverage.....
“What leverage do you use?”
“Was that trade 10x or 50x?”
Here’s the truth:
❌ Leverage Does NOT Affect Your Profit or Loss
Let me repeat that:
Leverage doesn’t change how much you win or lose
It only changes how much capital you need to hold the position
The ONLY thing that matters in a trade:
✅ Your stop-loss size
✅ Your risk amount ($)
Example:
• Trade A: $200 risk, 1% stop, 50x leverage
• Trade B: $200 risk, 1% stop, 3x leverage
→ Same setup, same outcome:
✔️ If TP hits: both win the same
❌ If SL hits: both lose $200 — not more, not less
️ So Why Use Leverage At All?
It frees up capital
Lets you manage multiple positions or assets
Keeps you capital-efficient — NOT “more profitable”
Final Word:
Stop focusing on leverage.
Focus on risk per trade and stop distance — that’s what actually affects your outcome.
Trade smart. Control your risk. Leverage is just a tool — not a strategy.
@Alpha Members
Still watching this 12H Wycoff Model 1 playing out.
I dont do many swing setups, but when I do they hit!
2 Poor Highs were taken out yesterday. One more remains directly above us, and then theres another ~ $110,700
We are getting to the Premium section of this larger range, so we do have potential for swing shorts coming, but we will need very strong confirmations for that to happen, as this structure is almost straight up, and the Model 1 Wycoff Accumulation has a job to do.
Since I lost my Bybit accounts, I will be testing out new exchanges and new trading terminals for the quickest execution speeds and reliability for scalping and day trading.
I am currently back trading BTC on CME Futures for now, since its the most stable, but it doesnt come without its quirks. So, over the next few weeks I will be testing all of this, trading BTCUSDT, and MBT( Micro BTC on CME Futures) on different trading platforms to try and find the best setup that fits my needs.
So my screenshots will vary from here on out, as I will probably be dumping Trading View (CQG routing) execution entirely at some point in the very near future as it is very slow. The UI is stellar, but the execution speed is not going to cut for scalping. Longer day trades and swings, its perfect. But I need something that fits everything.
11:46 AM
I will be testing out several exchanges...Bitget, MEXC, Hyperliquid, and maybe a few others...But these are at the top of my list for now for several reasons fo rme personally.
11:47 AM
I will also be testing out trading terminals once I decide on the exchange...Insilico and Teal Street. Ive tried both before in the past and they offer extremely low latency, and nice execution features.
11:48 AM
I will also be testing trading terminals for CME futures (BTC as well as other futures) as I will. not trade futures on Trading View anymore. I will be further testing Bookmap as well as Motive Wave for execution.
This is a HUGE step forward for US traders. At a time where I just lost my Bybit accounts, Im glad to see there will be legal solution for US customers for trading perpetual futures now. Lets hope this is a sign of good things to come, and they will expand their contract even further.
If it comes back down and takes my SL, I will be out of the trade in some nice $$$...and I will look for another refined entry on the retracement.
Would prefer if it breaks these local highs first, and then a retracement to give us a bullish BOS for more confirmations to add that we will go higher.
10:10 AM
Tapped out...nice move to start off a Friday morning
10:12 AM
Going for the short here for the retracement.
10:13 AM
Finding support here at AGGR VWAP. Might not get this one.
10:13 AM
ES is extremely bullish, so might want to lay off the short button today.
10:14 AM
.
10:15 AM
TP1 here
10:15 AM
SL move down
10:16 AM
Getting stuck at the 0.5 fib here
10:16 AM
10:16 AM
taking it here at GP
10:19 AM
Coming down to our POI for retracement in discount location of the range
Trailed SL up aggressively on that push and got tapped out.
12:34 PM
12:35 PM
I saw this on the books, and said ok, thats good for me there. Big sell wall there
12:36 PM
It could push higher if the aggressors will come out to play heavy handed and push the market buy button
12:37 PM
Big Sell Wall
CVD divergence
This was my sign to get out
12:37 PM
Now we could just have a small retracement and keep trying to break that Sell Wall...we will see if they got the juice to push through, or if we can find a nice short opportunity
12:38 PM
Some massive passive players here...Id like to see it tap directly into that level, making a higher high, and CVD making a lower high
12:39 PM
We could also find a backtest long off the previous range
12:41 PM
Same level of resistance at the short from early this morning
Robinhood Stock Tokens will allow EU customers to get exposure to the US stock market Robinhood will also launch a
11:32 AM
Looks like RobinHood is following suite
11:32 AM
They dont want Coinbase to be the only ones offering perpetual futures for US customers...
11:33 AM
Like I said before, it looks like this will be the start of good things to come for US traders, I will imagine, many will follow because they dont want to be left behind.
11:34 AM
Looks like pretty soon, KYC, offshore IDs, VPNs, and all the workaround will be a thing of the past.
Looks like it might go, but Im not taking this one, no confirmations, no trade for me
12:53 PM
I will wait patiently for a confirmed setup
12:56 PM
Structure looks nice and bullish on the low time frames here, but MTF still bearish, and this looks too much like a re-distribution forming, potential wycoff here to move it lower.
1:03 PM
Still watching ES as well, getting rejected at same level as earlier and formed a Model 1 Wycoff
Still watching our Daily Wycoff Model 1 Accumulation play out...again target for this is extreme liquidity of the range or to take the range and make new ATH!!!
If you are long, not a bad idea to leave a runner on the books! NFA
12:16 PM
This is why it pays off to learn market structure + range theory
Would love to see a Model 1 Wycoff, take the local highs, at the same time taking the extreme liquidity left in this range, and then a nice retracement.
Finally making our way down into the extreme discount section of the range
OB with inducement, as wel as the lows with another OB + inducement
JP Trades
Would love to see a Model 1 Wycoff, take the local highs, at the same time taking the extreme liquidity left in this range, and then a nice retracement.
Called the Model 1 Distribution before it happened this morning...turned out to be a great short!
12:05 PM
We break below pwHigh, and close below, I will look for a mega short.
12:07 PM
Not much liquidiy until further down - $105-106,500 area
12:13 PM
TP1 at dOpen
12:14 PM
SL to BE
12:19 PM
Long denied!
12:20 PM
Potential LTF break + retest
12:21 PM
12:22 PM
12:22 PM
not super convinced on this one, because bears have been pushing hard on this way down, but I also look at the potential stop losses to be swept above us.
12:24 PM
We still have room to do deeper into this level of demence, 5m OB, 3m OB all overlap in this demand zone. Will look for confirmations at levels to see if I can have a better entry in the case I get stopped on this long.
12:24 PM
Playing with house money at this point today, so dont mind the risk here
TP1 here at extreme discount section of this local range
Hoping to break this range to the down side to see my target that I was searching for earliyer this morning at the GPZ
12:04 PM
Might not happen right now....this is always the questions I want everyone to focus on.
If you have a target, you could be 100% right on that target, but you dont know how price is going to get there or when its going to get there.
So I always work in probabilities, b/c thats how to be successfull in this game.
I know we are forming a range, so until we break up or down from this range with confirmations, we couldnt continue this range for a while.
So I SIMPLY play both sides of the range until it breaks.
But in this case, I would love to see a re-distribution here...potential Model1 or Model 2 wycoff to form and then break down.
12:04 PM
We do have some hefty buy walls here, lets see if they get ran through
12:05 PM
Actually going to take another small profit here at the bottom of the range...just normal thing to do when you are trading range high to range low, and then leave runners for the potential break
12:06 PM
Watching for an SFP if this range low, or a break down
Took another short from 5m OB and had a TP set around dOpen, didnt even get to grab a screenshot before it hit.
12:56 PM
Price is about to retest that same OB as well
12:57 PM
Confirmations used on that last trade...CVD has been extremely on point today with scalps
12:59 PM
Also could be along oppotunity if we do decide to flip VWAP and this Supply here
1:01 PM
Taking another short here
Confirmations are there, but they arent the best...very very local abosorption..I would feel better if it was from swing to swing. Only taking small risk on this one, b/c I dont like it as much
1:06 PM
Got annihilated on that one.
JP Trades
Also could be along oppotunity if we do decide to flip VWAP and this Supply here
Also, I took the long based on a bullish bias and price stalling...I want to note for everyone here and for myself, that there was 0 confirmations on that long trade. No bullish MS break, no OF confirmation of any kind.
Plain and simple, that was a trade that should NOT have been taken based on all of my theories and rules. This is an example of what happens when you break your own rules. We all make mistakes, and thats what risk management is so important. We are keeping the losses manageable compared to all of our wins.
Now we get back in the games, but this time, only solid confirmations!
Still watching this OB here instead of the old demand, we have flipped, so watchin this 3m supply for a rejection, but no confirmation for me just yet on this.
10:28 AM
10:28 AM
TP1 here around the lows and VWAP, moving SL in profit
10:29 AM
10:30 AM
TP2 @ open
10:31 AM
10:31 AM
TP here VAL
10:31 AM
1 left in the chamber for the lows
10:34 AM
Tapped out on the short
10:35 AM
Still biased towards taking out the Range Low, Poor Lows, London Lows
Lets see if this OB can hold, or if it wants to take the lows for liquidity
10:01 AM
10:02 AM
they are reloading here right above that POC, lets see if its legit, or spoof
10:04 AM
Going to move SL to BE to prevent any potential losses here, but id like it to run, so Im not going to be as aggressive on TP until nPOC
10:04 AM
10:05 AM
Hitting newly created supply...will need to flip before it goes anywhere. We want to see this reject, then flip and cause a supply failure. This will give us solid confirmaitons that we are going higher
Would love it if we took the London Lows, and then even lower to that liquidity level
10:28 AM
IF we make it there, definitely looking for a long there
10:34 AM
Coming back down into demand range....moving my SL down
10:35 AM
This is a tiny wycoff accumulation that we are coming back to, so its possible to bounch somewhere in the range. But, The trend is still bearish and I want that liquidity level below us.
We are also very extended on the higher TF's, so a massive pullback could be a good thing.
10:35 AM
Zoome out lens
10:37 AM
TP2 here at the POC in this demand
10:38 AM
Trailing the SL and saving some TP for that liquidiy level area. Also watching how we react at the London Lows
10:39 AM
Technically speaking, this area is not bad for a RIMC long play...so this might not just dump right away, we could get a small pump back up and then dump, or another chance for the bulls to step in here and to defend their level.
We have to watch the battle in real time with order flow to see what prevails
10:43 AM
Short is treating me well
10:44 AM
Getting slight absoprtion, but the bears are eating it up, no exhaution yet at all
10:47 AM
Weve hit the deepest level of demand in this range, so its now or never for the bulls to step in aggressively here
10:52 AM
10:52 AM
Lows
10:53 AM
Lots of stacked orders here
10:53 AM
Taking small TP here and leaving the rest for a big drop if it chooses to nuke this
10:55 AM
Looking great
10:56 AM
Important
10:57 AM
CVD just flipped bearish for the first time in a while
10:58 AM
640 BTC long immediately under water
10:59 AM
CVD flipped back bullish...Bulls are tring to save it here
11:03 AM
I still think we are going to drop here to that liquidity level, but they are starting to build up more levels above that as well, so it needs some strength to get there for sure.
Im just hoping to doesnt come back up and tap out my SL before that drop.
11:04 AM
But Im still aggressive on my SL placement to try and max out profit as much as I can...its a fine balance of greed
TP1 here at tiny 5m demand, just to get paid, nothing crazy
1:00 PM
SL is already in profit, free trade here
1:00 PM
In the case I get tapped out, I will find a re-entry until this idea is invalidated
1:01 PM
slight bullish absorption here at this 5m demand
1:03 PM
Keep in mind...there is a nice liquidity level at 118,500, that is basically the highs of this range, so Im also looking for an SFP there for a potential short if we confirm SFP and absoprtion.
1:03 PM
Have to be ready for all scenarios within this range
1:05 PM
We still have supply in extreme premium of the 15m range
1:06 PM
The larger 30m/1h demand has been mitigated, however it has left being 15m supply still remaining. So do we have reason to go back? Yes
1:10 PM
That long was a nice level btw...RDZ 1 hit to the dollar, anchored VWAP, VAL, and Demand OB. Just didnt see a solid confirmaiton..but was a nice level
1:13 PM
Watching these levels within this range
(edited)
1:14 PM
Massive limit buy order on the books now at POC
1:15 PM
B/c of that my SL is moving down
1:17 PM
Watching very close here
1:18 PM
Very zoomed in to this area to see the battle in real time...absorbing lots of shorts atm
I shorted this a while ago, but still handing in there. I had to get lunch and run some errands. Going to take half of the table here, bc it looks like we are coiling
Been short since before lunch...had to go out and run some errands, for about my trade so I did not take any TP yet when we went down to VWAP like I planned.
@everyone
Its been another amazing week of trading. There were a few days were I didnt catch many moves, but still made it out very well. Not all days will be the same.
I hope everyone gets away from the charts for a bit, visits with family and friends, or at least get out in nature a bit.
I have a jammed packed weekend, but I might take some time on Sunday to start charing up some Altcoins.
Let me know if there are any alts yall would like me to start charting
Also, my new trading setup is almost finished. I have a few pcs still coming in, but I will have most of it done by next week. Once it is finished, I will start doing more video updates and youtube content.
Have a great weekend!
4:26 PM
1
JP Trades
Got into this short hours ago...came back from lunch and we have still not moved far.
Once you understand the system, you can take high probability trades on any time frame.
Scalps, day trades, swing trades, doesn't matter, time is fractal, price action is fractal, ranges are fractal...and they all have the same system, same set of rules/guidelines, same entry criteria.
When you stick to the system, you can lets go of all the low probability trades, and you win rate will sky rocket!
You can really make trading simple once you learn the basics of this system.
Strong reaction at VAL, tapped me out in slight loss
1:18 PM
Should have taken a partial at VAL tbh
1:19 PM
That VWAP backtest now may take it down to the Poor Lows
1:22 PM
1:22 PM
1:23 PM
There it is! VWAP backtest down to Poor Lows
This is a great example of a trade not working out the first time around, but sticking to the idea because youve seen it play out hundreds of times and trusting the process...all the while managing risk!!!
@Alpha Members
1:25 PM
1:27 PM
Next up...possible now if we dont break back in to Value, that it could nuke down to clear the tiny CME GAP, or even better, extreme demand in discount section of this range.
1:28 PM
keeping my eyes here to see if we break back in, or we go down clear the CME GAP + pdVAL
We still have a bit more of the CME Gap to fill below. Would be nice to completely fill this gap and go.
9:43 AM
However we are getting CVD divs here at the lows, tons of selling but price is stuck.
9:44 AM
9:45 AM
Massive divs on MCB as well
9:46 AM
That Daily money flow bearish divergence on MCB is looking a bit rough
9:48 AM
9:51 AM
Most HTF are looking a bit bearish, but 5m looks decent for a slight relief...we will have to see what kind of strength the bulls bring out today to see if it can turn the HTF back to bullish over time.
I am looking for move back up, scalp long, to then potentially get back up and backtest VWAP for a short down near the macro VAL or dviation of that VAL, for a potential swing long setup
9:54 AM
9:56 AM
9:58 AM
Scenarios Im looking out for
Or we could just sit here forever and create a range
10:00 AM
Many time after a very large move, we form ranges and fake out both sides for market makers to fill bags to create the next move.
Backtest it....see what normally happens after big pumps or dumps.
Be ready for all scenarios
We got the levels, sets alerts, and just look for confirmations at these levels given...that simple.
10:04 AM
It would make sense to take out the lows first, because we have thousands of shorts opening up here at the lows..quick move down to fill CME gap, and then see a stronger push to the upside for a backtest, or true bullish rally.
We are so close to fill the gap
We already have tons of shorts here, and more would open up if we continue down
Then MMs could trap those shorts and squeeze.
If this scenario happens, I will be long and strong
10:06 AM
10:11 AM
Golden Pocket is right at that zone as well
10:11 AM
10:12 AM
Both Bybit and CME chart...GP right in that CME GAP fill zone
Local Setups have been updated, nothing too exciting
Still want a bit lower to take out that nPOC, D, and Poor Low which is also sitting in the macro GP, macro VAL, local range deviation zone 1, and fully filling the CME Gap...mega confluence level.
We have broken out of todays weekly VA, we are hitting previous wPOC now.
If we can maintain bullish structure, I am looking for how we react at the pwVAL
If we can get acceptance back into that pwVA, I will hope for a rotation at least to the pwPOC, which is a nwPOC, and leave a runner for a potential full range rotation to the pwVAH.
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:43 AM
Updates in this local range
9:44 AM
Touchdown into Demand
9:49 AM
9:50 AM
Getting stuck in this demand, tiny local absorption building.
9:52 AM
For you guys that like to use Oscillators, I feel Market Cipher B is the best one I have tested in the last decade....I have tested them all, in live trading, backtesting, and building bots...
My go to for scalping is CVD...nothing better...not lagging
MCB is my favorite lagging indicator to use as confluence, however I use it a bit different than most.
9:53 AM
But you can see here, had a very nice bearish div going into that purple supply OB to confirm that trade
9:54 AM
Momentum and Money Flow divs!
I dont like using just momentum on its on, however I have strategies using momentum only in certain ways/context, and then also using momentum + money flow..which is my favorite.
Tons of TA confluence, and confirmations on this one...this one was a no brainer, and quick smooth follow thorugh.
@Alpha Members
11:04 AM
Every low we make, is continously a Poor Low, so I see it getting taken out over and over again until we make a solid low with a proper buying tail on the 30m. TPO will indicate this clearly.
Closed short here into that 10m Demand, but still looking for a potential lower low to take out the range low, or the Daily Structure low
10:20 AM
However, if we reclaim pdLow and Daily Open, then we could be back in business for a pump
10:21 AM
Also, reclaim of the local VA would be nice as well to show a few sings of strength, and then long a backtest
10:22 AM
We flip this supply, I will look for longs
10:24 AM
However, it might just rocket through to VWAP, we will have to see if structure gives us a chance for a backtest of some sort, but it doesnt always give us that. We pray! lol
10:25 AM
Maybe it will give us something like this after a rejection from vWAP and coming back, giving us a chance to get into a long on a retracement near VAL
10:28 AM
We did have some nice triple bullish divs here on MCB waves, MF, and CVD
No Break...just another SFP of the range...nice short indeed
2:38 PM
Very clear MCB wave div + double CVD div into that level
Easy trades everyone!!!
@Alpha Members
2:40 PM
You DONT have to sit and watch charts all day...I was cooking lunch, heard my alarm go off...saw the div, pulled the trigger on the short...Stop above the high, and TP at VWAP
The markets spends ~70% of the time in a range versus big breakouts or trends.
If you just learn range theory with volume, and learn how to confirm your trades with practice/experience...you can make a very good income with this alone!
Theres no reason for crazy strategies, playing the range will take you as far as you need to make it!
@Alpha Members(edited)
JP Trades
Alarm went off
Back at the Lows
Look for reversal at this OB, or to take the lows into a deeper mitigation of the OB that was longed yesterday
I dont usually trade at night, but man this was a killer long last night during the Asia session.
12.8R Trade
12:19 PM
BTC is a bit boring, and is starting to get a bit more bearish by the day.
As outlined last week, if we lose the Daily structure, things could get bearish for a bit and start to fill out value at lower prices.
12:21 PM
Lost these lows, which was out Daily MS low.
12:23 PM
Next we look at the weekly candle to see if its just going to be another weekly SFP of those lows. If we continue down and close below, we will likely see lower prices...if we create another strong weekly SFP, we could see another rally up. Either way, its very HTF, wont matter much to scalpers and day traders other than a slight directional bias on which positions to hold runners for.
12:29 PM
Swing Long areas of interest
1) GP + POC + Daily Level
2) SFP + pmL + Daily level + Golden Zone (618-786)
3) Extreme Demand OB + nVWAP + nPOC + Weekly Level
Vwap has been lost, lets see if we can catch a VWAP backtest trade
10:16 AM
Bears pushing the big red button
10:17 AM
We are still in a tight range for today, but a balanced session, so I am looking for SFP of VAL/VAH, Highs/lows
10:23 AM
10:23 AM
Short from VWAP backtest
10:23 AM
TP1 booked
10:23 AM
Took a big chunk out to secure $$$
10:25 AM
You can see the order flow here right at the VWAP backtest
This is why I was saying to look for this trade, bc more time than not we have a nice 1st hit off of it that will be good for at least a scalp
But context is a balance day, so that means ranging behavior is highly probably
10:29 AM
Until we break this range, Im not looking to hold positions
10:30 AM
This level here will be my main level Im looking at for a long to make a new high and break the range high, as long as we get confirmations at that level
10:32 AM
10:32 AM
Back at VAH
10:33 AM
Looking for short confirmation here, or a break and retest to go higher
10:36 AM
Also worth noting we have poor highs and poor lows on this balanced profile. Would like to see SFP of both.
If we make a strong break below this low, I will be looking for a retest for a short
12:17 PM
If nothing exciting happens in the next hour, Im going to lunch and then to the gym. Probably call it a day unless on of my main key levels gets hit. Enough $$$ has been secured for one day.
12:17 PM
At this point, I dont like to keep on trading aggressive, b/c I dont want to give profits back to the market.
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11:00 AM
BTC Levels Updated
11:05 AM
Im looking at this area next for a potential long opportunity.
CVD is quite bearish today so far, so Im expecting a bit more downside
11:07 AM
Notable areas to look at for bounces.
These are sitting limit orders on the current books waiting to get filled.
$108-109k has around 800 BTC currently sitting there
(edited)
11:13 AM
Here you can see the importance of the FRVP tool...one of the best tools to use in trading!
We have confluence of 3 different FRVP pulls from 3 previous highs.
You can see here how they are very good at giving you the signal for a nice trade setup that usually has an expectaional order flow to the other side of the range.
Like Ive said many times here before, if you understand how to trade ranges, you can trade them on any time frame, 5 sec time frame all the way up to the Monlthy time frame....its for scalpers, day traders, and swing traders.
11:13 AM
@Alpha Members
11:16 AM
Got in very late on this short, but my target is at liquidity patch, the triple lows, the VALs....Weekly Open you see in my last image above.
11:19 AM
We are hitting massive Order Block here and 786 fib, but Im not taking any quick profits on this one. Im willing to take the L if necessary. I want a bigger win on this one.
TP1 @ $109k
TP2 @ $108,600
TP3 - Runner to take the lows and maybe more...at this point I will trail aggressively.
11:21 AM
When we hit TP1, SL goes to entry for free trade at that point
11:23 AM
Heavy absorption here, bullish CVD, bears need to push past this wall.
Tiny 1m accumulation model forming with bull divs...could see a pump back up to previous supply. Potential to add to my short, if confirmations are present.
JP Trades
Tiny 1m accumulation model forming with bull divs...could see a pump back up to previous supply. Potential to add to my short, if confirmations are present.
We still have a wall of buyers to push through though...the fight is not over yet...but if bears push past, it will liquidate the longs that longed here in the last hr, and might see a nice waterfall down to our next level.
12:03 PM
That buy wall is defending hard!
12:09 PM
Looking for this
Redistribution just like we saw previously
12:13 PM
Maybe a mini distribution here, waiting to confirm
12:13 PM
Tons of longs here into this level
12:16 PM
For those of you who like to combine volume with your shapes
Looking back on this, I could have taken $400 profits on 2 different short setups...would have been better scalping both sides of the range like I usually do.
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
9:35 AM
Updated BTC Levels
9:36 AM
9:37 AM
I do love me some trapped breakout traders in the morning
9:38 AM
Perfect SFP of the highs here, running into previous VAH
9:38 AM
9:38 AM
Thank you for playing
9:40 AM
Lets see if we can make it back down to VWAP
9:43 AM
This is important area here at previous weekly VAH. If we flip and get acceptance, I would like to see a nice pump tp $115,200, and then next up would be $117, and then $118,800
9:47 AM
BTC is struggling to hold previous weekly open and NY Open. Lets see if the buyers exhaust out here
9:52 AM
Looking for another SFP at the highs here, if we break strong, the I will look for retracement for a long.
9:52 AM
9:52 AM
Another SFP
9:53 AM
Taking some profits here
9:53 AM
9:55 AM
This is why I dont buy tops!
10:00 AM
Just look at the millions of dollars that longed the top. They are sweating right now, underwwater....RED PNL
10:01 AM
At this point, they want price to come back soooo bad to relieve them of their position. If the panic and exit their position, it will add more shorts/sells to the book.
10:01 AM
Losing POC now!
(edited)
10:02 AM
10:07 AM
10:08 AM
30min of trading a day, and you can do some damage with just some simple SFPs of a local range.
I cant stress this enough....if you learn how to play ranges, you can do so on any time frame. Markets range 80% of the time.
VWAP backtest was a hell of a short position now....I guess those guys at the top exited their position.
This is why context matters so much in this game. Understanding what other players are doing in the market, and the psychology of their position.
10:26 AM
This could go down to nPOC
10:27 AM
10:28 AM
If we go further down, looking for that blue dotted line below us which is the pVAL, pruple line which is the poor low, or the bright green line which is the nPOC
10:28 AM
Im short from the VWAP backtest...going to take half off the table here..taking a big TP
10:31 AM
OB hit, would still like lower, but we are creating bullish divs here
Alright, Im calling it a day here now for real this time.
10:44 AM
Almost feels criminal making this much money in an hour
10:47 AM
Hope everyone enjoys the weekend! We had another amazing week of trading. Im going to be dropping some Youtube videos starting at the end of this month, and making it a regular thing. I am going to go over some very simple strategies that anyone can use on any time frame. Will also be going over trade recaps, and trade of the week in great detail...full walk throughs. I want people to learn how to properly trade any market, no matter how much time you have on your hands to trade. This will be something for all style of traders!
10:48 AM
@Alpha Members
10:52 AM
Give me your feedback in #💬┃gen-chat or #💬┃general
This is why I toook TP here, and moved SL aggressively
10:20 AM
Backtest of the TL again, and Supply order block.
10:23 AM
Back to demand, lets see if we can bounce and take it to VWAP or breakout above VWAP
10:24 AM
maybe another re-distribution pattern here if we dont break above previous range.
10:26 AM
Quick scalp long on that one
10:32 AM
10:35 AM
Internal SFP
10:36 AM
10:37 AM
Tp1 here at internal high and incase this turns into a triangle
10:37 AM
Dont forget to pay yourself! Thats what we are here for
10:39 AM
This is why I took TP...I could imagine internal liquity getting swept on both sides, b/c we are forming a potential traingle pattern here. So when you come to a point of resistance, we cant forget to pay ourselves. Its that simple
10:39 AM
10:40 AM
This is how I play both sides of a range or pattern until it breaks...Im not interested in playing the breakouts, unless we have a obvious retest
10:41 AM
10:42 AM
You can very clearly defined areas to short and long when using Supply and Demand and liquidity concepts. Lines are only there for confluence and visualization of whats potentially forming.
10:46 AM
This is how I view ranges in my head
All I see if liquidity ready to get swept, and play it on both sides
When you come to an area that you want to short, but you have big orders like this under you on the bid, think twice about shorting into that. Its never a good idea.
These are times were I look to see if they get pulled, and flip
Otherwise I skip this trade and move onto the next.
11:00 AM
Reading order flow context here, we have a huge bid below us, but no big liquidity above us.
I would look for the move to continue up, unless the big order gets pulled, and spoofed.
11:01 AM
You will be able to spot this once price returns back to this level.
11:01 AM
Like that
11:01 AM
That red line got pulled
11:02 AM
Sometimes they can pull and enter an off the books iceberg order too, Ive seen this happen plenty of times to fake people out
11:05 AM
Fake out the highs, then hopefully come for all these lows
11:05 AM
Trend line putting in work
JP Trades
maybe another re-distribution pattern here if we dont break above previous range.
Would like to at least take this down to the lows of this local range.
11:37 AM
Moving SL down to protect $$$
Creating slight hidden bullish divs here, and leaving a liquidity wave back to the upside, so I see this as a potential for another pump. So in a situation like this, I TP then move SL in profit.
If we have a retracement here, it might create a nice short opportunity for a nice trade setup for a short off the VAL
9:52 AM
Looking at these 2 areas for a potential short
9:55 AM
If there is going to be a short at these areas, It needs to be a quick tap and down or else I dont like it.
10:01 AM
To put this in greater context...the reason I only want to see a quick tap in, is because if it holds above to long and we can candle closure into that VA, we are 1) breaking back into Value, 2) we are breaking market structure back to bullish. So it has to be a wick in and candle close below, essectially an SFP of local 5m market structure.
This was the level that we traded at the very top of this move!
Couldnt ask for a better entry!
10:10 AM
The short and the long levels have been on the chart way in advance on both of these trades
I hope someone here is printing $$$ with these levels, they are GOLD!
10:13 AM
Bookmap is showing that we have some heavy sell walls above us, so I am looking for another short.
1
10:16 AM
This is our current HTF Range, we have front ran the GP, so I would still like to see some downside to come.
Would like to see the 786 fib get hit, all the while taking out the Poor Low that is there.
However, we do have another Poor Low at the bottom of this range, so I would love to take a short all the way down to the bottom of the range if bitty is really goin to
If we come back to VWAP or Supply, I will look for another potential short if given confirmations
11:50 AM
Going to try a low risk long up to golden pocket
11:53 AM
Long position here
11:54 AM
Would like to take this long up to GP + sell walls on bookmap for another potential short there
11:54 AM
Lower risk setup, b/c bulls have been a bit weak all morning
11:58 AM
The big blue ball in the pic above on BookMap at the top of this range has around 1300 BTC that bought the top of that breakout and got trapt
This is why I continuously say here in my channel to stop playing breakouts...the probability is against you over time.
(edited)
12:01 PM
If price gets back to that area, those traders that have been underwater, or in the red for some time now this morning are sweating, and are forced to make a decision. Do I hold out to see if price comes back around and I can make some profit it price goes up (which structure and trend are clearly down this morning)? or do I cut my losses here and take the loss....or do I see if price comes back to my entry or somewhere near my entry to get out around a break even.
Either way, what we look for on order flow software like bookmap now at this point is to see if these people relieve themselves of this potential loss.
If the exit their position, their original buy position will turn in to a sell position for them to exit, which will create a big move down.
This could happen in one big flush, or scale out..either way, this is the psychology you need to think about as a trader to see other traders offside, in the red, and ask yourself...if you were them, what would you do?
12:04 PM
Imagine the anxiety and fear you would feel if you where long at the top there, and your trade was millions of $$$, and your position was massively red
I dont usually use LTF like that for OB's but sometimes its the last demand left standing and they will try and to defend their position.
If we break though that blue box, we should take the lows of this range
1:28 PM
If you use the range tool, you can see we are bouncing from the GP fib, or discount section of the range.
1:29 PM
Like Ive mentioned many times before here in my channel, when we make huge moves, we usually settle into a range, and build a balanced day that will sweep both sides of the range, or we look for re-distribution models, or re-acumulation models.
1:29 PM
The easiest way to frame the market for the day and take easy, clearly definted trades from high probability zones
Bybit Chart: We had a 3 tap Wycoff Model yesterday, but price came back down one more time to take out the lows and grab liquidity for the push up....
Why did this happen?
10:11 AM
CME Futures Chart: We had that same 3 tap Wycoff model, but during the over night open, we had a massive Gap up...These gaps are usually filled, so we had to have some selling pressure to bring us back down to fill that gap and tap into the last area of demand to confirm and complete the Wycoff Accumulation model.
This is why we went lower on the Bybit chart, the CME pressure pushed us back one last time. But because of the almost $1000 price discrepancy at that time, Bybit took the lows, where as CME followed proper structure and just mitigated demand of the Wycoff model.
This is a great example of why its important to look at both charts for full context.
We have a couple smaller OB's above us, but would only treat them as scalps, as I would would price to go up to the POC + GP for a much higher probability short in premium section of the range.
Almost to 786 fib here, will take a bit more $$$ here
1:35 PM
SL moving down as well
1:38 PM
1:39 PM
1:43 PM
Took more TP here, and still chasing it with my SL
1:43 PM
Next up is Monthly Open, then pmLow, and then the lows of this range it self
1:44 PM
We have some buy walls coming up in those zones as well, but all the buy walls we have had this morning did not stop the bears
Could be a bigger player slowly entering in the discount section of this range.
1:49 PM
Big sellers out today, be careful with that green button...dont go longing until you see this settle and create a range or a bullish BOS
1:53 PM
Bulls are really trying to trap this big sellers here, if they get some strength could recoil
1:56 PM
Bulls got smacked
1:58 PM
Still got 4 left in the chamber on this trade
1:58 PM
SL aggressive, so might get stopped here at Monthly Open
1:59 PM
Thats alot of big purple balls!
Could be a nice setup to trap them if the bulls can really step in here
2:01 PM
Every change the bulls get, the just get smacked, sellers will eventually exhaust out at some point though
2:02 PM
The liquidity wave is looking insane on this move down...if a big buyer could step in they could really use these big sellers as liquidity for the taking
2:03 PM
For a late entry, thats a damn good trade
2:07 PM
Stopped out on this MEGA short
2:07 PM
TBH, I was getting really bored with the price action this morning, definitely didnt expect this to happen.
Just like Ive mentioned here in my channel many times..after a nice hard dump/pump, we always look for price to form a range.
Then we can play the range for what it is. Clear, and easy criteria.
Watch for SFPs on both sides of this range are the highest quality setups.
9:07 AM
Also watch for a potential pump up to the previous range for a potential short opportunity
9:09 AM
Lesson for the day: Markets only move and create market structure in 3 distinct ways. This gives us the ability to understand what to expect, and it allows us to have trading strategies no matter what happens in the market.
9:10 AM
I have a strategy for every type of play in the market. All will be in my playbook in my upcoming courses.
Coming up to the HTF golden pocket here, however I would still like it to go a bit further to the 786 as we have more confluence there, or to the top of the range itself.
We had tons of buying on the way up...thousands of BTC worth, so if we trap them, we could give this entire move back. However, I would think those players would try and defend their position with that size, which is why I am aggressive on TP and SL moves on this trade as usual.
Remember this is very counter trend, and could easily get squeezed
We are at VWAP here, but I really want higher for a potential short
11:03 AM
We do have potential to sweep this liquidity wave and create a new high on the HTF, but we may get smaller pullbacks that will be potential short scalps along the way
11:05 AM
We also still have room to come down to mitigate the bigger demand that has been left behind and still maintain HTF bullish structure
11:08 AM
This idea aligns with the SVP profiles for further confluence
11:09 AM
Short from the VWAP
11:09 AM
Taking TP and NYO, because they are going to try and defent the open here
11:09 AM
SL in profit
11:10 AM
Does have potential to fall from here even, but I dont like it...but this is showing a re-distribution pattern
11:11 AM
11:11 AM
11:14 AM
I would prefer something like this
11:14 AM
I still want higher for a better short
11:16 AM
I want to hit the GP or 786 before a bigger move down.
11:17 AM
This is a better location for a short, GP + order block + POC
Attempting a long here...it didnt come down to VWAP like I wanted, but Im taking a chance on this based on what I see in order flow alone...so Its not an A+ normal setup....just willing to risk some profits here on this one to look for a new high for the day.
I dont see why we would stop here, as we are so close to the highs at this point.
12:04 PM
If sellers step in heavy, it would trap tons of longs...so be aware. We want to see pullbacks, but slow steady tight pull backs
12:06 PM
Another tight pullback with hidden bullish divs
12:06 PM
CLassic continuation pattern
12:07 PM
Next Daily level and Order Block at $123,350
12:07 PM
I will TP 1 here
12:07 PM
I am moving my SL in profit now to guard this trade of any loss, free trade at this point, and I want to let it ride
12:12 PM
Tp1 here
12:13 PM
Hitting that Daily level now + order block
(edited)
12:15 PM
Potential to add to long at this order block if we get confirmations, or even a pullback
(edited)
12:18 PM
We do need to be cautious here as we have to now pay attention to high time frames
12:21 PM
This could mark the 3rd tap of a MASSIVE wycoff distribution model. We still have plenty of time for this to confirm itself, but we do have to be aware that we are hitting the last available supply level in this macro HTF Range and this is significant.
We could see a solid pullback somewhere inside this last remaining supply for a model 2, or we could take the previous ATH for a 3rd SFP to create a Model 1 Wycoff.
Watch for each scenario, because this could be a signal for a massive top zone if either were to play out.
12:22 PM
Moving sL up now
12:24 PM
STarting to get bearish CVD divs here...but as weve seen so far today, shorts are getting squeezed so, Im not taking anything until I see a bearish BOS
12:26 PM
For the Wycoff potential setup, I honeslty would look for a another HTF SFP, like 12H, 18H, or Daily SFP, I want to see a Model 1 for the ultimate trap rather than a Model 2
I went on an extended lunch with family to deal with some stuff after that trade.
I'm suprised we didnt take the ATH being so close to it, but we are diving into the weekend where volume will be lower.
I would watch to see what Asia does tonight during their sessions.
If we look at this entire move up, we can see Asia historical had a tiny pullback then up again during London/NY.
So we look at this trend to see what happens next. Even MS rules itself and order flow expectation at this point is a pull back, knock out some longs in the process, grab liquidity, and get ready for another push.
Sunday might get interesting.
5:22 PM
5:23 PM
Each Vertical line here marks out the Asia Open time
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5:37 PM
Levels going into the weekend
5:38 PM
Will be watching these 2 levels for a bounce to take the highs, a new ATH
Watch that Low, if we have a solid BOS there, 4H trend will be shifting back to bearish.
5:40 PM
Not to be a super bear here...but if we we do have a 4H candle close below that low, we do have potential for this being a macro top.
5:43 PM
The only reason I would still be bullish, is because the Daily TF market structure is so far away. on the Daily, the low to break before bad news would be $108,625....If we break that low, this is a macro top.
SL in profit, free trade, lets see if this thing can start taking out some liquidity.
This is extremely risky against the trend trade until we have a meaningful bearish BOS
10:23 AM
This was my confirmations to short here
10:25 AM
Didnt make it to the most extreme liquidity area I wanted from internal structure, but I saw this and took it. Was a bit risky setup as we can very well shoot back up very quickly to grab more liquidity.
This was also the 786 fib level getting hit
But once I saw the confirmation, I have to stick to my rules and take the trade without emotions. Everything met my criteria, so I trade it
(edited)
10:25 AM
SL is now at NYopen level, locking in $$ quickly for the first trade of the week
10:26 AM
Also taking another 2 contracts off the table here
Not sure if we will break that buy wall, but lets see what happens
10:52 AM
Moving SL to BE to make this a free trade now, just sit back and chill and see what happens
10:53 AM
Really needs to break below the previous low to break market structure, so until that happens, Im not highly convinced of this trade going much further
10:55 AM
Coming to the buy wall now
10:55 AM
Taking TP1 here
10:55 AM
No promise it goes further unles we get a massive push, or they pull their orders
10:56 AM
10:56 AM
Thats a big purple ball, lots of selling here now, lets hope they dont get trapped.
10:57 AM
Also tapping into VAH
10:58 AM
Moving SL down
10:59 AM
-Just SFP that previous low I wanted to break. Lets see if the 5m and 10m follow
Im really trying to catch this short down to wipe out the liquidity wave, but everyone is still in pump mode
2:08 PM
Markets structure has been perfect on this entire move
Every new high, is followed by a retest of the demand it left behind...a New higher high, and a new higher low each and every time...not bearish MS breaks..which is why Im guarding these trades very aggressively, b/c they aggresively counter trend, until this trend ends.
Taking some profit here after that rejection, so I can go ahead and book some $$$ from this trade, and if it comes down to a new retest demand zone, I will add it back into the trade to compound.
3:58 PM
Looking to compound in at the blue line where 500 or so BTC are sitting
4:02 PM
4:03 PM
Blue line (POC) nailed
4:06 PM
This is how professional day traders nail scalps to the dollar, aggressively, price moves away instantly, and you can create a free trade with no risk in a matter of a minute.
(edited)
4:07 PM
Dropping secrets from the upcoming PRO courses @Alpha Members
Took a big chunk out of this trade since its the first trade of the day.
This could be the next HL, for the next HH in markets structure if we are to continue the local trend bullishly.
9:54 AM
I didnt get a chance to take the short, but man was it a textbook setup. If anyone wants to learn what Im doing, this is one of my go to strategies. @Alpha Members
9:59 AM
Long target was hit for me. There is potential to go higher, but I wanted to lock my profits in for the day on my first trade. This thing looks like it has some decent power, and we trapped alot of shorts at the bottom.
JP Trades
Took a big chunk out of this trade since its the first trade of the day.
This could be the next HL, for the next HH in markets structure if we are to continue the local trend bullishly.
This prediction was in fact correct...we have now completed the market structure order flow objective..and new Higher Low, for a new Higher High to continue the trend up.
We did get an SFP into a supply order block, while making bearish divs, but I want to see if MF is going to continue to curl up and invalidate that bearish divergence.
I have shared a lot of invaluable information in all of my trades this week, as I have done time and time again here.
I have shared my thought process behind each trade, showing how I create my levels, giving you direct access to my charts that you can open on your screen in Trading View. I have showed what I want to see when looking to get involved into a trade, what tools I use to confirm an entry, how I find my targets for the trade, and trade management to mitigate losses like no one else in this game!
I hope some people here are making some $$$ and learning how to hone a life long skill that is absolutely irreplaceable and can give you endless opportunities in life.
If you are still wondering how to do this yourself, I will have courses coming out, teaching this all in the most easiest to comprehend format out there. I also offer live 1 - on -1 training if anyone is interested.
But if you are liking these posts, and my updates, show some love!
@Alpha Members(edited)
2
JP Trades
That target also lines up nicely with the Weekly POC
Hidden bearish div here, so we could retrace for retest, or take out the low b/c there is still about 600 BTC sitting at the liquidity level you see here in Bookmap
(edited)
12:08 PM
If I get stopped out, I will be looking for another long here if given the confirmations for one
I dont like that we left this Poor Low behind, barely front running it.
I actually would prefer BTC to come back down SFP the current low, and this previous low that created a Poor Low, to clear that out with a big wick, and then have a run up.
Doesnt have to happen now though, can obviously happen any time, can take days to come back and clear that Poor low out.
12:19 PM
The reason why this is important, so if you are currently long, take profit and move SL to BE so you can be guarded just in case we do decide to make another low here before pumping it.
12:24 PM
Next Long setups Im looking at if we take the lows again
12:25 PM
My SL got hit on this long
12:28 PM
New setup just formed from newly created demand here
12:28 PM
Not the best setup, but going for it...got confirmations, have to pull the trigger since my checklist is green lighted
12:31 PM
There is also a 5m OB inside this 15m OB that is at the bottom, so price technically could come back and mitigate it as well
Tryinng this long, broke the trend line, and mitigated a 5m order block...took the long from that order block, SL obviously at the bottom of OB
3:27 PM
Watching SFP here, so taking TP1, and moving SL to BE to de risk
3:31 PM
Important levels to watch SFP, BOS, and for targets for this long. If we break structure, then look to the next high for target, if we break that high, then we look at the next swing structure high for the next target...and so on and so on
3:31 PM
We watch each high for a BOS or an SFP.
This tells us the story behing the strength of each player in the market
3:31 PM
Also reclaiming pdLow is a big deal!
3:33 PM
This is also coinciding with the VAL of the weekly volume profile...so getting acceptance back into this profil is also imporant.
3:36 PM
Potential demand chain creating here if we hold this second newly formed orderblock
Moved my SL below that OB to compensate for necessary mitigation
3:37 PM
SL tapped, out of the long
3:39 PM
We didnt have a strong break above that structure high, got tapped out of the long.
We do have a 30m Order block in green below us that could be the next long opportunity.
Potential that we need to flip back to bearish and start looking for another short if we keep rejecting from this OB + wVAL + macro VAH, etc
3:40 PM
We are currently trading back and forth through the line in the sand of bullish and bearish, so we could very well form a range here and stop out both sides to build liquidity and get everyone confused on which direction its ultimately going to choose.
3:42 PM
This often happens in time when we are in HTF points of interest...usually takes time for an accumulation to occur or for a re-distribution to occur because liquidity has to be created, or engineered in a way for the market makers to fill their massive orders. They do not have the ability to enter in massive orders without sitting liquidity to fill those orders.
3:44 PM
NOTE: This green order block is the last remaining level of demand that I deem significant, so if this doesnt hold, Im flipping back to shorts, until new data emerges telling me other wise.
With that said, its nearing end of day for me, and we are in a hot area that may take time for things to play out, so I likely will not take another trade today. Maybe one more...but I will likely sit out and jsut wait for tomorrow
This is a great example of showing you how market structure and time frames are fractal.
This is why it doesnt matter what time frame player you are, scalper, HFT trader, intra day/day trader, or swing trader....all rules of markets structure apply the same. Any time frame, any asset.
This is why learning market structure is king. Its a foundational concept you have to learn.
But Professional order flow software like bookmap shows you exactly whats at the level, quantifying the volume at those levels in real time, with real numbers, no lag, and shows you what is happening to those orders in real time so you can make better decisions on trades.
I see we lost the 0.5 fib and the Macro POC of the range, are grinding down to the next sessions nPOC.
I doubt we would stop here as the Golden Pocket is not far below us around $115k.
I would expect more downside before any relief.
With that said, I will leave yall here and enjoy the weekend!
That Wycoff Model 1 like I outlined at the beginning of the week sure did play out nice! I mentioned that this could be the top. Looks like it was the top.
Killer week! Let’s refresh and do it all again next week!
This setup was given to all @Alpha Members on 10/3/25 for the macro top short for any swing traders out there that wanted to take that opportunity. I told you what to watch out for, before it even happened, and why it wasn’t just going to be a day trade but rather a Macro top.
We did not fill the gap 100%, but confirmations were there.
10:25 AM
10:27 AM
It was the same area on the BTC Bybit chart that we were looking for a scalp/potential swing long from.
The charts just look different b/c the structure is not the same, as CME did not have the monster wick down as the dump last Friday happened after hours.
(edited)
10:28 AM
However, I would still prefer it to come down and SFP those lows, and then run up a bit if its going to go anywhere far.
Watching for an SFP below the range at these levels here for a potential long
(edited)
1:14 PM
Breaking below the VAL here, could watch for a backtest short down to the lows
1:15 PM
Just note, we do have potential to fall much further than those SFP levels if they dont hold. This is where watching order flow or structure on the way down will confirm who is in control
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9:37 AM
Not much to update, just a couple new levels added to the chart, but most of the trade plans remain the same
9:38 AM
When BTC is slowly grinding after big moves like this, we always create a range.
The markets move from range (balance) to expansion (imbalance) over and over and over again.
9:41 AM
These types of days I usually move to other assets to trade like SP500 or Nasdaq for better volatility. Also look into Forex pairs or stocks to trade while bitcoin is slowly grinding.
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10:55 AM
Updated Level
10:58 AM
Just like I mentioned at the time of the dump, usually when we have massive dumps or pumps, we put in a range.
I was hoping the low was going to be taken out with an SFP, and then start the range, but we got a very nice MSS at our order block which is a. clear confirmation that the internal trend was changing back to bullish.
10:59 AM
We are at a supply level, potential short here, however, Im not interested in taking it here because we have acceptance back into the value area of the range, and are now currently at the POC
11:01 AM
Scenario 1 - we bust through the POC, backtest it for a long to target the top of this range or the VAH.
Scenario 2 - we lose steam here, and retest the VAL + VWAP for a potential long...but you will have to watch the POC as resistance again, and hope that you get past that defense level to potentially break up to the top of this range.
Scneario 3 - We lost the VAL + VWAP, backtest them for a short back down to sweep liquidity, and potentially sweep the lows again.
11:04 AM
11:05 AM
11:07 AM
11:10 AM
11:11 AM
@Alpha Members
11:15 AM
Picture perfect V Shape recovery on the CME BTC chart
This is why I draw my trade ideas this way with the brush tool at POI.
Nice rejection as our next level of supply + POC of the larger range. Would expect a pullback to mitigate newly created demand to continue the trend, on the higher time frame. Still looking to take out the highs. But could be alot of internal market structure flip flop before we get there since it is Friday.
10:44 AM
3 Zones below us to watch for the next bounce to ultimately continue on the bigger HTF trend up.
10:47 AM
If we are going to bounce here, I would prefer it to take out the nPOC and then go.
JP Trades
Nice rejection as our next level of supply + POC of the larger range. Would expect a pullback to mitigate newly created demand to continue the trend, on the higher time frame. Still looking to take out the highs. But could be alot of internal market structure flip flop before we get there since it is Friday.
7R Trade from the Continuation Long setup given out on Friday
3:06 PM
We caught the HTF HL Swing long SFP setup
We caught the Short scalp setup back down for the mid time frame continuation to continue towards our HTF Long expectational targeted high.
We caught the continuation long after our scalp short to continue to the HTF objective.
We are catching damn near every significant reversal on low time frames, mid time frames, as well as high time frames.
This is how we can scalp, day trade, and swing trade all at the same time...or if you happen to miss out on the swing low, you are given other chances to get in with the trend.
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This is one of the most impressive charting platforms I have seen that is constantly updating and moving extremely fast!!
We will be partnering with them in the future and I will be apart of my advanced order flow course on how to use this software.
10:54 AM
10:56 AM
UI is one of the best
Extremely quick, nearly no lag on loading or adjusting anything on this platform.
Their Free version is insance on how much it offers.
If we flip VWAP, could be a great continuation long there
11:29 AM
This is also battling to reclaim pwL as I mentioned in the video if this move was to play out
11:30 AM
We have a had a bearish BOS on some TF's, but remember fractal nature of MS
We have to flip bearish on mid time frames to get down here, but the HTF could show us an SFP which would still remain bullish. Again might take to end of day to confirm that.
11:30 AM
Could build a local range here and fill out volume...also mentions in the video
I have been using order flow software for 6+ years on bitcoin now, as well as other assets.
But there is a new behavior happening on the order books for bitcoin now that I have never seen before.
All those deep grey lines on the heatmap are popping up above and below price. You can see an order on the books to the right with 2000+ BTC
This is a quote-shifting algorithm or dynamic iceberg order, an automated liquidity algorithm dynamically chasing price...not an actual trader manually adjusting this over and over.
10:34 AM
You often times see this on large stocks and ES/NQ
10:35 AM
I guess institutions are started to get more involved into BTC now in a new way
We are also at AGGR VWAP, which is going to to be important for the NY Session in wether we strongly reject here, or start to trade over it for the day, and reach the Overnight highs
11:32 AM
11:32 AM
Aggr VWAP here
11:38 AM
11:40 AM
Another quick scalp...count trend so just taking a small pc of the pie
Here is the long from VWAP we were waiting for from my last post here.
Easy $$$ @Alpha Members
12:15 PM
12:16 PM
12:19 PM
We have been killing it all week long in here.
I hope some of you have caught at least a couple of these trades Ive been posting here. @Alpha Members
If you want to learn more about how I do this day in and day out check out my #🎯│-1-on-1-coaching
I can customize all of this to fit your personal risk style, trading style, and how much available time you have to trade. Whether you dream is to be a full time day trader, or just make a second income while you have your 9-5...its all possible with just a little bit of work.
If I can do it, I know you can!
12:24 PM
We are at a potential short zone, however, if this is a true PO3, Its not at the target yet
Well thats it for me this week. Grateful for another killer week of volatility. We have some amazing trades this week, some really killer setups.
Dont forget to take a breather and spend time with friends and family this weekend. Get out, get some sun, run around in nature, enjoy some time without screens!
Looking for these areas for a potential long setup.
9:54 AM
Currently filling CME Gap, so potential to bounce here, however we are now breaking back into previous wVA, so I would rather see a deeper retracement back into demand and mitigate the nPOC.
Also wiping out high leveraged longs along the way to rebalance value
9:59 AM
Well..the CME GAP fill really had a nice pump there
10:00 AM
Those Gap N Go Setups mean business!
10:06 AM
Nice liquidity sweep of the highs into NYO
Short from that area and targeting the nPOC
10:08 AM
TP1 here at pdL, and sL move to BE
10:09 AM
I want to see pdLow breaking down, or its going to eventually find support here, and the developing VA will expand, and VAL will move below price, bring price back into value
We break the lows, head to pdLow next and sweep that liquidity, and like I mentioned......
10:33 AM
10:34 AM
Looking to take out this nPOC if we can make it down that far, this would fix the Poor low as well
10:36 AM
10:36 AM
Developing POC just moved down, meaning lower value is being accepted as fair value. This could push us further down as its a bearish signal
10:37 AM
Sellers still in control
10:37 AM
10:38 AM
There you go, price is now losing the VA, but we watch for SFP here as well, b/c it can create absorption and push us again briefly if bulls try to save this value area
10:39 AM
10:40 AM
Im moving SL down just a bit to lock more $$$ in, if it does SFP this and shoot back up to NYO, I will enter short again if we get some confirmations to do so.
10:40 AM
Using the POC as my defense
10:47 AM
10:47 AM
Moving SL down to VAL now
10:49 AM
Daily level is giving us a bit of support here, we need to bust through for any further downside
10:50 AM
Im going to take 1 more contract off the table here
10:52 AM
we have some heavy handed buyers here around $101,000
10:54 AM
I will take another TP when we hit that liquidity
10:59 AM
Moving SL down slightly again
10:59 AM
We are getting bullish divergences here with CVD increasing
11:01 AM
Taking one more contract here, but leaving SL same, just locking more in here as we are having a little support at that Daily Level
These buy walls keep getting filled, and moved down. So it seem s like a long squeeze, or a bigger buy accumulation is starting, time will tell when the MSS happens
1:15 PM
1:16 PM
Remember what I said about calling the top on the Daily Wycoff Model 1 Distribution.
The technical target of that model is $98,182
1:17 PM
From a weekly perspective, it could abosulutely take you down to $74,000
Wycoff Model 2 Distribution on the HTF, so this could bring it down to that 1H Low
2:31 PM
Watch for an SFP or BOS at that 1H
If we get an SFP at that level, could switch back into a long trade to then target the highs
Just watch for confirmations
2:38 PM
2:38 PM
Weve made a full range rotation of our weekly range
Hitting into VAL now
This is a good area to TP on the short and leave a runner
2:38 PM
Lock in $$$
2:40 PM
Remember what I said in the video...we break that 1H low, we could then be going down to the 4H low, may not happen right away, but that is the expectational order flow.
2:41 PM
Im interested in seeing what happens around that previous weekly VAL
Got denied on the move to VAH for now....buyers stepped back in a backtesting VWAP....aaaagain
11:49 AM
11:49 AM
Im going for the short again, not the best confirmation on this...and its a bit of a riskier setup here because its a chop fest in the middle, but Im playing with house money atm so, Im going to give this trade idea another chance.
1
11:50 AM
If we dont close below pdH, I will likely get taken out
First sell wall is filled, new cluster of orders appearing above a bit high around VAH
1:05 PM
This is a bit of a risky setup now, bc we are well over VWAP, and breaking back above pwH
1:05 PM
Definitely need some strong confirmations for this one
1:08 PM
1:09 PM
Orders have been filled, could come back to fill those remaining 2 sell walls, or just blow through it completely. I want to see some levels lost before I get involved
1:09 PM
Or get an aggressive entry, and move my SL to BE quickly!
I want this thing to move, or else im out...I dont want it to keep SFP the highs
11:35 AM
11:35 AM
locking more in
1
11:37 AM
11:37 AM
Watching the Tape closely here
11:39 AM
11:39 AM
3000+ BTC bought at the top here...they need to be careful
11:44 AM
11:44 AM
We made it
11:45 AM
1
11:45 AM
This is how we take small risk scalps. Not a great position, level, or location to long from, but we kept overl risk small, and de-risked as soon as we could, and make something out of nothing.
can we just go to VWAP already, I got like 10 min left to close this trade
1
4:49 PM
You know you want the VWAP bitty......just gooo!!
4:52 PM
4:55 PM
4:55 PM
Filling those singles
4:56 PM
1
1
4:56 PM
thats where Im pulling this trade
2
4:57 PM
Trading hours are over for me....I rarely hold trades over night...just my style...however if you are in this short...we do have potential to go a bit lower.
Alright guys, I have to run a couple important errands this morning, so I will not be updating as frequently until I get back to my trading station after lunch..I will be back before FOMC!